Lifeway Foods Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

LWAY Stock  USD 12.37  0.07  0.56%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lifeway Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 12.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.94. Lifeway Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to rise to 7.32 in 2024, whereas Inventory Turnover is likely to drop 7.48 in 2024. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to rise to about 17.5 M in 2024, whereas Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop slightly above 790 K in 2024.
Most investors in Lifeway Foods cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Lifeway Foods' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Lifeway Foods' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Lifeway Foods is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Lifeway Foods Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of June

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Lifeway Foods on the next trading day is expected to be 12.37 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97, mean absolute percentage error of 1.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 56.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lifeway Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lifeway Foods' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Lifeway Foods Stock Forecast Pattern

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Lifeway Foods Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Lifeway Foods' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lifeway Foods' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 6.15 and 18.59, respectively. We have considered Lifeway Foods' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.37
12.37
Expected Value
18.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lifeway Foods stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lifeway Foods stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0809
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.1412
MADMean absolute deviation0.9651
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0504
SAESum of the absolute errors56.94
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Lifeway Foods price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Lifeway Foods. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Lifeway Foods

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lifeway Foods. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lifeway Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.7611.9818.20
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.2211.4417.66
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.9013.9116.93
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.9212.0013.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lifeway Foods. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lifeway Foods' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lifeway Foods' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lifeway Foods.

Other Forecasting Options for Lifeway Foods

For every potential investor in Lifeway, whether a beginner or expert, Lifeway Foods' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lifeway Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lifeway. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lifeway Foods' price trends.

Lifeway Foods Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lifeway Foods stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lifeway Foods could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lifeway Foods by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Lifeway Foods Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lifeway Foods' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lifeway Foods' current price.

Lifeway Foods Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lifeway Foods stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lifeway Foods shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lifeway Foods stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lifeway Foods entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Lifeway Foods Risk Indicators

The analysis of Lifeway Foods' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lifeway Foods' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lifeway stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for Lifeway Stock Analysis

When running Lifeway Foods' price analysis, check to measure Lifeway Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lifeway Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Lifeway Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lifeway Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lifeway Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lifeway Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.