Lifeway Foods Stock Price Prediction
| LWAY Stock | USD 26.90 0.41 1.50% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
52
Oversold | Overbought |
Lifeway Foods stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Lifeway Foods shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Lifeway Foods' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Lifeway Foods and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Lifeway Foods' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lifeway Foods, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Lifeway Foods' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.521 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.06 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.22 | Wall Street Target Price 20.5 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 0.21 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Lifeway Foods based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Lifeway stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Lifeway Foods over a specific investment horizon. Using Lifeway Foods hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lifeway Foods from the perspective of Lifeway Foods response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Lifeway Foods. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lifeway Foods to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lifeway because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Lifeway Foods after-hype prediction price | USD 31.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Lifeway |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lifeway Foods' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Lifeway Foods After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Lifeway Foods at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lifeway Foods or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lifeway Foods, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Lifeway Foods Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Lifeway Foods' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lifeway Foods' historical news coverage. Lifeway Foods' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 25.23 and 38.37, respectively. We have considered Lifeway Foods' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Lifeway Foods is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lifeway Foods is based on 3 months time horizon.
Lifeway Foods Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lifeway Foods is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lifeway Foods backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lifeway Foods, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.58 | 6.57 | 4.90 | 0.09 | 11 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.90 | 31.80 | 18.22 |
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Lifeway Foods Hype Timeline
Lifeway Foods is now traded for 26.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 4.9, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.09. Lifeway is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 31.8 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 18.22%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 1.58%. The volatility of related hype on Lifeway Foods is about 10950.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.99. The company currently holds 2.92 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.14, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Lifeway Foods has a current ratio of 2.41, suggesting that it is liquid enough and is able to pay its financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Lifeway Foods until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Lifeway Foods' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Lifeway Foods sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Lifeway to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Lifeway Foods' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Lifeway Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Lifeway Foods Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Lifeway Foods' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lifeway Foods' future price movements. Getting to know how Lifeway Foods' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lifeway Foods may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CENT | Central Garden Pet | (0.03) | 8 per month | 1.40 | 0.13 | 4.63 | (2.99) | 10.31 | |
| CENTA | Central Garden Pet | 0.27 | 9 per month | 1.34 | 0.11 | 4.24 | (2.92) | 10.17 | |
| ACOPY | The A2 Milk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.39 | 0.12 | 4.67 | (3.38) | 20.80 | |
| AVOZ | Altavoz Entertainment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Lifeway Foods Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Lifeway price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lifeway using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lifeway charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Lifeway Foods Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Lifeway Foods stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lifeway Foods, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lifeway Foods based on analysis of Lifeway Foods hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lifeway Foods's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lifeway Foods's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.005758 | 0.00716 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.23 | 1.17 |
Story Coverage note for Lifeway Foods
The number of cover stories for Lifeway Foods depends on current market conditions and Lifeway Foods' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lifeway Foods is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lifeway Foods' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Lifeway Foods Short Properties
Lifeway Foods' future price predictability will typically decrease when Lifeway Foods' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lifeway Foods often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lifeway Foods' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lifeway Foods' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 15.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 13.2 M |
Check out Lifeway Foods Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Lifeway Stock please use our How to Invest in Lifeway Foods guide.Note that the Lifeway Foods information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Lifeway Foods' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Complementary Tools for Lifeway Stock analysis
When running Lifeway Foods' price analysis, check to measure Lifeway Foods' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lifeway Foods is operating at the current time. Most of Lifeway Foods' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lifeway Foods' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lifeway Foods' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lifeway Foods to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Lifeway Foods' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lifeway Foods. If investors know Lifeway will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lifeway Foods listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 4.521 | Earnings Share 0.75 | Revenue Per Share 10.917 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.175 | Return On Assets 0.141 |
The market value of Lifeway Foods is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lifeway that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lifeway Foods' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lifeway Foods' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lifeway Foods' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lifeway Foods' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lifeway Foods' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lifeway Foods is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lifeway Foods' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.