Altisource Asset Management Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.45

AAMC Stock  USD 3.45  0.03  0.86%   
Altisource Asset's future price is the expected price of Altisource Asset instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Altisource Asset Management performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Altisource Asset Backtesting, Altisource Asset Valuation, Altisource Asset Correlation, Altisource Asset Hype Analysis, Altisource Asset Volatility, Altisource Asset History as well as Altisource Asset Performance.
  
At present, Altisource Asset's Price Sales Ratio is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. Please specify Altisource Asset's target price for which you would like Altisource Asset odds to be computed.

Altisource Asset Target Price Odds to finish over 3.45

The tendency of Altisource Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.45 90 days 3.45 
about 91.92
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Altisource Asset to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.92 (This Altisource Asset Management probability density function shows the probability of Altisource Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Altisource Asset Management has a beta of -2.04. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Altisource Asset Management are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Altisource Asset is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Altisource Asset Management has an alpha of 0.1137, implying that it can generate a 0.11 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Altisource Asset Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Altisource Asset

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Altisource Asset Man. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altisource Asset's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.173.4410.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.163.2210.64
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.063.1110.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.153.393.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Altisource Asset. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Altisource Asset's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Altisource Asset's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Altisource Asset Man.

Altisource Asset Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Altisource Asset is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Altisource Asset's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Altisource Asset Management, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Altisource Asset within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.11
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-2.04
σ
Overall volatility
0.55
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Altisource Asset Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Altisource Asset for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Altisource Asset Man can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Altisource Asset Man generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Altisource Asset Man has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Altisource Asset Man has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (24.39 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.63 M).
Altisource Asset Management currently holds about 31.32 M in cash with (14.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.63, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Altisource Asset Man has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Altisource Asset Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Altisource Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Altisource Asset's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Altisource Asset's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments10.7 M

Altisource Asset Technical Analysis

Altisource Asset's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Altisource Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Altisource Asset Management. In general, you should focus on analyzing Altisource Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Altisource Asset Predictive Forecast Models

Altisource Asset's time-series forecasting models is one of many Altisource Asset's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Altisource Asset's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Altisource Asset Man

Checking the ongoing alerts about Altisource Asset for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Altisource Asset Man help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Altisource Asset Man generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Altisource Asset Man has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Altisource Asset Man has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years
Net Loss for the year was (24.39 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.63 M).
Altisource Asset Management currently holds about 31.32 M in cash with (14.88 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 17.63, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.
Altisource Asset Man has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures
Roughly 71.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
When determining whether Altisource Asset Man offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Altisource Asset's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Altisource Asset Management Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Altisource Asset Management Stock:

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When running Altisource Asset's price analysis, check to measure Altisource Asset's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altisource Asset is operating at the current time. Most of Altisource Asset's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altisource Asset's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altisource Asset's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altisource Asset to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Altisource Asset's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Altisource Asset. If investors know Altisource will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Altisource Asset listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.98)
Earnings Share
(6.12)
Revenue Per Share
1.874
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.602
Return On Assets
(0.18)
The market value of Altisource Asset Man is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Altisource that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Altisource Asset's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Altisource Asset's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Altisource Asset's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Altisource Asset's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Altisource Asset's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Altisource Asset is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Altisource Asset's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.