Aemetis Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.00
| AMTX Stock | USD 4.00 0.11 2.68% |
Closest to current price Aemetis long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Aemetis |
Aemetis Target Price Odds to finish over 4.00
The tendency of Aemetis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 4.00 | 90 days | 4.00 | about 51.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Aemetis to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 51.01 (This Aemetis probability density function shows the probability of Aemetis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Aemetis has a beta of -0.12. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Aemetis are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Aemetis is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Aemetis has an alpha of 0.4727, implying that it can generate a 0.47 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Aemetis Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Aemetis
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aemetis. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aemetis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aemetis Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Aemetis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Aemetis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Aemetis, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Aemetis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.47 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.79 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Aemetis Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Aemetis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Aemetis can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Aemetis had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Aemetis has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company currently holds 417.34 M in liabilities. Aemetis has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Aemetis until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aemetis' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aemetis sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aemetis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aemetis' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 186.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (46.42 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.54 M). | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Aemetis to Review First Quarter 2024 Financial Results on May 9, 2024 |
Aemetis Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Aemetis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Aemetis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aemetis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3 M |
Aemetis Technical Analysis
Aemetis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Aemetis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Aemetis. In general, you should focus on analyzing Aemetis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Aemetis Predictive Forecast Models
Aemetis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Aemetis' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Aemetis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Aemetis
Checking the ongoing alerts about Aemetis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Aemetis help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Aemetis had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Aemetis has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company currently holds 417.34 M in liabilities. Aemetis has a current ratio of 0.25, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist Aemetis until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Aemetis' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Aemetis sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Aemetis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Aemetis' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 186.72 M. Net Loss for the year was (46.42 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (5.54 M). | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Aemetis to Review First Quarter 2024 Financial Results on May 9, 2024 |
Check out Aemetis Backtesting, Aemetis Valuation, Aemetis Correlation, Aemetis Hype Analysis, Aemetis Volatility, Aemetis History as well as Aemetis Performance. For more information on how to buy Aemetis Stock please use our How to Invest in Aemetis guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
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When running Aemetis' price analysis, check to measure Aemetis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aemetis is operating at the current time. Most of Aemetis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aemetis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aemetis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aemetis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Aemetis' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Aemetis. If investors know Aemetis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Aemetis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.22) | Revenue Per Share 4.906 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.06 | Return On Assets (0.10) |
The market value of Aemetis is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Aemetis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Aemetis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Aemetis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Aemetis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Aemetis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Aemetis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Aemetis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Aemetis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.