Nu Holdings Stock Price Prediction

NU Stock  USD 11.73  0.16  1.38%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Nu Holdings' share price is approaching 49. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nu Holdings, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

49

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Nu Holdings stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Nu Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Nu Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Nu Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Nu Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nu Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Nu Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.636
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.09
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.42
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.65
Wall Street Target Price
11.87
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Nu Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Nu Holdings stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Nu Holdings over a specific investment horizon. Using Nu Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nu Holdings from the perspective of Nu Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nu Holdings using Nu Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nu Holdings using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nu Holdings' stock price.

Nu Holdings Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Nu Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Nu Holdings. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Nu Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Nu Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Nu Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Nu Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
9.2461
Short Percent
0.017
Short Ratio
3.46
Shares Short Prior Month
61.1 M
50 Day MA
11.5536

Nu Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Nu Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nu Holdings. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nu Holdings can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nu Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nu Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nu Holdings.

Nu Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  35.94  
Nu Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nu Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nu Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nu Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nu Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Nu Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nu Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nu Holdings because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Nu Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 11.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nu Holdings contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nu Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.25% per day over the life of the 2024-05-31 option contract. With Nu Holdings trading at USD 11.73, that is roughly USD 0.26 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nu Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nu Holdings options at the current volatility level of 35.94%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Nu Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Nu Holdings Stock please use our How to Invest in Nu Holdings guide.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nu Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.3910.3512.31
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.9610.9112.87
Details
17 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
8.349.1610.17
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.090.100.11
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nu Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nu Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nu Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nu Holdings.

Nu Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nu Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nu Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nu Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nu Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nu Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nu Holdings' historical news coverage. Nu Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 9.74 and 13.66, respectively. We have considered Nu Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
11.73
11.70
After-hype Price
13.66
Upside
Nu Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nu Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nu Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nu Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nu Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nu Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
1.96
  0.03 
  0.01 
10 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.73
11.70
0.26 
1,225  
Notes

Nu Holdings Hype Timeline

As of May 26, 2024 Nu Holdings is listed for 11.73. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Nu Holdings is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 11.7. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.26%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Nu Holdings is about 3379.31%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.72. About 72.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the December 11, 2014. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Nu Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Nu Holdings Stock please use our How to Invest in Nu Holdings guide.

Nu Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nu Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nu Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Nu Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nu Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
USB-PHUS Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.57  0.04  0.95 (0.94) 3.08 
USB-PPUS Bancorp 0.00 0 per month 0.70 (0.07) 0.97 (1.06) 3.08 
KBKB Financial Group 0.24 9 per month 2.18  0.1  6.98 (3.79) 13.69 
ITUBItau Unibanco Banco 0.02 10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.35 (3.31) 6.93 
KEY-PIKeyCorp 0.00 0 per month 1.34 (0.02) 1.95 (2.00) 5.72 
KEY-PKKeyCorp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.86 (1.91) 7.01 
USB-PAUS Bancorp PERP 0.00 0 per month 0.82  0.01  1.30 (1.52) 8.67 
KEY-PJKeyCorp 0.00 0 per month 1.14 (0.04) 1.87 (2.02) 5.06 
BSACBanco Santander Chile(0.57)10 per month 1.42  0.06  2.83 (2.71) 7.11 
BCHBanco De Chile(0.27)10 per month 1.27  0.12  2.35 (2.71) 5.85 

Nu Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nu Holdings price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nu Holdings using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nu Holdings charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Nu Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Nu Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nu Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nu Holdings based on analysis of Nu Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nu Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nu Holdings's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Days Sales Outstanding1.5K1.1K742.48705.35
PTB Ratio9.733.896.165.85

Story Coverage note for Nu Holdings

The number of cover stories for Nu Holdings depends on current market conditions and Nu Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nu Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nu Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Nu Holdings Short Properties

Nu Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Nu Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nu Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nu Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nu Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding4.9 B
Cash And Short Term Investments6.9 B
When determining whether Nu Holdings is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Nu Holdings Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Nu Holdings Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Nu Holdings Stock:
Check out Nu Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Nu Holdings Stock please use our How to Invest in Nu Holdings guide.
You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.

Complementary Tools for Nu Holdings Stock analysis

When running Nu Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Nu Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nu Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Nu Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nu Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nu Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nu Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Top Crypto Exchanges
Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges
ETFs
Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Fundamental Analysis
View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements
Stock Tickers
Use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites
Price Exposure Probability
Analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets
Watchlist Optimization
Optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm
Bond Analysis
Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios.
Theme Ratings
Determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Bollinger Bands
Use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon
Headlines Timeline
Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity
Is Nu Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Nu Holdings. If investors know Nu Holdings will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Nu Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
1.636
Earnings Share
0.26
Revenue Per Share
0.899
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.797
Return On Assets
0.0346
The market value of Nu Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Nu Holdings that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Nu Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Nu Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Nu Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Nu Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Nu Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Nu Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Nu Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.