Nu Holdings Stock Price Prediction
| NU Stock | USD 12.41 0.04 0.32% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
68
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 1.636 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.09 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.41 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.61 | Wall Street Target Price 13.42 |
Using Nu Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nu Holdings from the perspective of Nu Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Nu Holdings using Nu Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Nu Holdings using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Nu Holdings' stock price.
Nu Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long Nu Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Nu Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Nu Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 10.3172 | Short Percent 0.0251 | Short Ratio 2.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 68.8 M | 50 Day MA 12.2998 |
Nu Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Nu Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Nu Holdings. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Nu Holdings can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Nu Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Nu Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Nu Holdings.
Nu Holdings Implied Volatility | 52.72 |
Nu Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Nu Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Nu Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Nu Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Nu Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nu Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nu Holdings because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Nu Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 12.38 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Nu Holdings contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Nu Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 3.29% per day over the life of the 2024-08-02 option contract. With Nu Holdings trading at USD 12.41, that is roughly USD 0.41 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Nu Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Nu Holdings options at the current volatility level of 52.72%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Nu Holdings |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nu Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Nu Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Nu Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nu Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nu Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Nu Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Nu Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nu Holdings' historical news coverage. Nu Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 10.01 and 14.75, respectively. We have considered Nu Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Nu Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nu Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Nu Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nu Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nu Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nu Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.22 | 2.37 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 10 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
12.41 | 12.38 | 0.24 |
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Nu Holdings Hype Timeline
As of July 26, 2024 Nu Holdings is listed for 12.41. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.05. Nu Holdings is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 12.38. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.24%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.22%. The volatility of related hype on Nu Holdings is about 1050.74%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.46. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the December 11, 2014. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Nu Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Nu Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Nu Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nu Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Nu Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nu Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| JPM | JPMorgan Chase Co | 3.62 | 9 per month | 1.13 | 0.07 | 1.93 | (1.46) | 6.53 | |
| C | Citigroup | 0.77 | 8 per month | 1.36 | 0.0002 | 2.50 | (1.81) | 7.29 | |
| WFC | Wells Fargo | (1.38) | 9 per month | 1.61 | (0.05) | 2.02 | (2.05) | 9.45 | |
| TD | Toronto Dominion Bank | (0.20) | 9 per month | 1.39 | (0.06) | 1.75 | (1.58) | 6.64 | |
| BAC | Bank of America | 0.10 | 9 per month | 0.87 | 0.05 | 2.12 | (1.51) | 7.55 | |
| RY | Royal Bank of | (0.73) | 9 per month | 0.61 | 0.1 | 1.90 | (1.18) | 6.54 | |
| HSBC | HSBC Holdings PLC | (0.05) | 8 per month | 1.01 | (0.02) | 1.42 | (1.50) | 6.45 | |
| UBS | UBS Group AG | (0.29) | 10 per month | 1.43 | 0.06 | 2.36 | (2.40) | 10.11 | |
| BCS | Barclays PLC ADR | 0.19 | 10 per month | 1.37 | 0.15 | 2.21 | (2.70) | 10.87 |
Nu Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Nu Holdings price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nu Holdings using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nu Holdings charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Nu Holdings Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Nu Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nu Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nu Holdings based on analysis of Nu Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nu Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nu Holdings's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 1.5K | 1.1K | 742.48 | 705.35 | PTB Ratio | 9.73 | 3.89 | 6.16 | 5.85 |
Story Coverage note for Nu Holdings
The number of cover stories for Nu Holdings depends on current market conditions and Nu Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nu Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nu Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Nu Holdings Short Properties
Nu Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Nu Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nu Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nu Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nu Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.9 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.9 B |
Additional Tools for Nu Holdings Stock Analysis
When running Nu Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Nu Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nu Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Nu Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nu Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nu Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nu Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.