United Recommend (Taiwan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 57.4

5321 Stock  TWD 59.20  1.20  1.99%   
United Recommend's future price is the expected price of United Recommend instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of United Recommend International performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out United Recommend Backtesting, United Recommend Valuation, United Recommend Correlation, United Recommend Hype Analysis, United Recommend Volatility, United Recommend History as well as United Recommend Performance.
  
Please specify United Recommend's target price for which you would like United Recommend odds to be computed.

United Recommend Target Price Odds to finish below 57.4

The tendency of United Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to NT$ 57.40  or more in 90 days
 59.20 90 days 57.40 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of United Recommend to drop to NT$ 57.40  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This United Recommend International probability density function shows the probability of United Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of United Recommend Int price to stay between NT$ 57.40  and its current price of NT$59.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.12 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon United Recommend has a beta of 0.89. This suggests United Recommend International market returns are correlated to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, United Recommend is expected to follow. Additionally United Recommend International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   United Recommend Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for United Recommend

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as United Recommend Int. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of United Recommend's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
56.9759.2061.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
53.2861.8364.06
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
56.0358.2660.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
39.0862.2685.43
Details

United Recommend Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. United Recommend is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the United Recommend's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold United Recommend International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of United Recommend within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.2
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.89
σ
Overall volatility
2.80
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

United Recommend Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of United Recommend for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for United Recommend Int can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Recommend Int generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
United Recommend International has accumulated 531.2 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.98, which is about average as compared to similar companies. United Recommend Int has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist United Recommend until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, United Recommend's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like United Recommend Int sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for United to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about United Recommend's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 61.0% of United Recommend shares are owned by insiders or employees

United Recommend Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of United Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential United Recommend's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. United Recommend's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding35 M

United Recommend Technical Analysis

United Recommend's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. United Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of United Recommend International. In general, you should focus on analyzing United Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

United Recommend Predictive Forecast Models

United Recommend's time-series forecasting models is one of many United Recommend's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary United Recommend's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about United Recommend Int

Checking the ongoing alerts about United Recommend for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for United Recommend Int help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
United Recommend Int generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
United Recommend International has accumulated 531.2 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.98, which is about average as compared to similar companies. United Recommend Int has a current ratio of 0.86, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist United Recommend until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, United Recommend's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like United Recommend Int sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for United to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about United Recommend's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 61.0% of United Recommend shares are owned by insiders or employees

Additional Tools for United Stock Analysis

When running United Recommend's price analysis, check to measure United Recommend's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy United Recommend is operating at the current time. Most of United Recommend's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of United Recommend's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move United Recommend's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of United Recommend to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.