Atlantic American Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.96
| AAME Stock | USD 1.67 0.01 0.60% |
Atlantic |
Atlantic American Target Price Odds to finish over 1.96
The tendency of Atlantic Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 1.96 or more in 90 days |
| 1.67 | 90 days | 1.96 | about 69.94 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Atlantic American to move over $ 1.96 or more in 90 days from now is about 69.94 (This Atlantic American probability density function shows the probability of Atlantic Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Atlantic American price to stay between its current price of $ 1.67 and $ 1.96 at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.19 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Atlantic American has a beta of 0.39. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Atlantic American average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Atlantic American will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Atlantic American has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Atlantic American Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Atlantic American
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Atlantic American. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Atlantic American's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Atlantic American Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Atlantic American is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Atlantic American's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Atlantic American, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Atlantic American within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.7 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.39 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.44 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Atlantic American Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Atlantic American for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Atlantic American can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Atlantic American generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Atlantic American may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Atlantic American has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 186.79 M. Net Loss for the year was (171 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.36 M. | |
| About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 26th of April 2024 Atlantic American paid $ 0.02 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Atlantic American Corporation Reports First Quarter Results for 2024 |
Atlantic American Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Atlantic Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Atlantic American's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Atlantic American's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 28.3 M |
Atlantic American Technical Analysis
Atlantic American's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Atlantic Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Atlantic American. In general, you should focus on analyzing Atlantic Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Atlantic American Predictive Forecast Models
Atlantic American's time-series forecasting models is one of many Atlantic American's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Atlantic American's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Atlantic American
Checking the ongoing alerts about Atlantic American for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Atlantic American help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Atlantic American generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Atlantic American may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Atlantic American has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 186.79 M. Net Loss for the year was (171 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 20.36 M. | |
| About 80.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| On 26th of April 2024 Atlantic American paid $ 0.02 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Atlantic American Corporation Reports First Quarter Results for 2024 |
Check out Atlantic American Backtesting, Atlantic American Valuation, Atlantic American Correlation, Atlantic American Hype Analysis, Atlantic American Volatility, Atlantic American History as well as Atlantic American Performance. For information on how to trade Atlantic Stock refer to our How to Trade Atlantic Stock guide.You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Complementary Tools for Atlantic Stock analysis
When running Atlantic American's price analysis, check to measure Atlantic American's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Atlantic American is operating at the current time. Most of Atlantic American's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Atlantic American's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Atlantic American's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Atlantic American to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements |
Is Atlantic American's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Atlantic American. If investors know Atlantic will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Atlantic American listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.78) | Dividend Share 0.02 | Earnings Share (0.05) | Revenue Per Share 9.191 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.016 |
The market value of Atlantic American is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Atlantic that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Atlantic American's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Atlantic American's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Atlantic American's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Atlantic American's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Atlantic American's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Atlantic American is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Atlantic American's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.