Accor Sa Stock Odds of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 43.93

ACRFF Stock  USD 42.80  3.25  7.06%   
Accor SA's future price is the expected price of Accor SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Accor SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Accor SA Backtesting, Accor SA Valuation, Accor SA Correlation, Accor SA Hype Analysis, Accor SA Volatility, Accor SA History as well as Accor SA Performance.
  
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Accor SA Target Price Odds to finish over 43.93

The tendency of Accor Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 43.93  or more in 90 days
 42.80 90 days 43.93 
about 40.29
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Accor SA to move over $ 43.93  or more in 90 days from now is about 40.29 (This Accor SA probability density function shows the probability of Accor Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Accor SA price to stay between its current price of $ 42.80  and $ 43.93  at the end of the 90-day period is about 18.02 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Accor SA has a beta of -0.22. This suggests as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Accor SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Accor SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Accor SA has an alpha of 0.1317, implying that it can generate a 0.13 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Accor SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Accor SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Accor SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Accor SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.3542.8045.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
33.7936.2447.08
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
43.7446.1948.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
38.3843.8447.49
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Accor SA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Accor SA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Accor SA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Accor SA.

Accor SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Accor SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Accor SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Accor SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Accor SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.13
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.22
σ
Overall volatility
2.48
Ir
Information ratio 0.03

Accor SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Accor SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Accor SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Accor SA has accumulated about 1.3 B in cash with (234 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.33.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Accor SA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Accor Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Accor SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Accor SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding261.9 M

Accor SA Technical Analysis

Accor SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Accor Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Accor SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Accor Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Accor SA Predictive Forecast Models

Accor SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Accor SA's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Accor SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Accor SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Accor SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Accor SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Accor SA has accumulated about 1.3 B in cash with (234 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 4.33.
Roughly 27.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
Check out Accor SA Backtesting, Accor SA Valuation, Accor SA Correlation, Accor SA Hype Analysis, Accor SA Volatility, Accor SA History as well as Accor SA Performance.
Note that the Accor SA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Accor SA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.

Complementary Tools for Accor Pink Sheet analysis

When running Accor SA's price analysis, check to measure Accor SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Accor SA is operating at the current time. Most of Accor SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Accor SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Accor SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Accor SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Accor SA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Accor SA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Accor SA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.