Affimed Nv Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 10.76
| AFMD Stock | USD 6.53 0.41 6.70% |
Closest to current price Affimed long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Affimed |
Affimed NV Target Price Odds to finish over 10.76
The tendency of Affimed Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 10.76 or more in 90 days |
| 6.53 | 90 days | 10.76 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Affimed NV to move over $ 10.76 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Affimed NV probability density function shows the probability of Affimed Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Affimed NV price to stay between its current price of $ 6.53 and $ 10.76 at the end of the 90-day period is about 5.32 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Affimed NV has a beta of 0.55. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Affimed NV average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Affimed NV will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Affimed NV has an alpha of 0.4751, implying that it can generate a 0.48 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Affimed NV Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Affimed NV
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Affimed NV. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Affimed NV's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Affimed NV Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Affimed NV is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Affimed NV's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Affimed NV, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Affimed NV within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.48 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.55 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Affimed NV Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Affimed NV for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Affimed NV can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Affimed NV is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Affimed NV appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Affimed NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (105.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.87 M. | |
| Affimed NV currently holds about 237.23 M in cash with (110.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.59. | |
| Affimed NV has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Notable earnings before Wednesdays open |
Affimed NV Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Affimed Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Affimed NV's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Affimed NV's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 14.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 72.9 M |
Affimed NV Technical Analysis
Affimed NV's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Affimed Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Affimed NV. In general, you should focus on analyzing Affimed Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Affimed NV Predictive Forecast Models
Affimed NV's time-series forecasting models is one of many Affimed NV's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Affimed NV's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Affimed NV
Checking the ongoing alerts about Affimed NV for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Affimed NV help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Affimed NV is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Affimed NV appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Affimed NV has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 8.28 M. Net Loss for the year was (105.94 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 42.87 M. | |
| Affimed NV currently holds about 237.23 M in cash with (110.27 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.59. | |
| Affimed NV has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Notable earnings before Wednesdays open |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Affimed Stock
When determining whether Affimed NV is a strong investment it is important to analyze Affimed NV's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Affimed NV's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Affimed Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Affimed NV Backtesting, Affimed NV Valuation, Affimed NV Correlation, Affimed NV Hype Analysis, Affimed NV Volatility, Affimed NV History as well as Affimed NV Performance. For information on how to trade Affimed Stock refer to our How to Trade Affimed Stock guide.You can also try the Idea Analyzer module to analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Affimed NV. If investors know Affimed will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Affimed NV listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (7.66) | Revenue Per Share 0.931 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.58) | Return On Assets (0.43) | Return On Equity (1.01) |
The market value of Affimed NV is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Affimed that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Affimed NV's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Affimed NV's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Affimed NV's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Affimed NV's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Affimed NV's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Affimed NV is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Affimed NV's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.