Artois Nom (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4,961

ARTO Stock  EUR 5,050  50.00  1.00%   
Artois Nom's future price is the expected price of Artois Nom instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Artois Nom performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Artois Nom Backtesting, Artois Nom Valuation, Artois Nom Correlation, Artois Nom Hype Analysis, Artois Nom Volatility, Artois Nom History as well as Artois Nom Performance.
  
Please specify Artois Nom's target price for which you would like Artois Nom odds to be computed.

Artois Nom Target Price Odds to finish over 4,961

The tendency of Artois Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 5,050 90 days 5,050 
about 14.7
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Artois Nom to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 14.7 (This Artois Nom probability density function shows the probability of Artois Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Artois Nom has a beta of 0.23. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Artois Nom average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Artois Nom will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Artois Nom has an alpha of 0.0644, implying that it can generate a 0.0644 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Artois Nom Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Artois Nom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Artois Nom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Artois Nom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5,0495,0505,051
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4,9985,0005,555
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5,0165,0185,019
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4,8885,0445,200
Details

Artois Nom Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Artois Nom is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Artois Nom's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Artois Nom, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Artois Nom within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.23
σ
Overall volatility
113.62
Ir
Information ratio 0.05

Artois Nom Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Artois Nom for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Artois Nom can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 96.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Artois Nom Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Artois Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Artois Nom's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Artois Nom's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding107.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments688.1 M

Artois Nom Technical Analysis

Artois Nom's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Artois Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Artois Nom. In general, you should focus on analyzing Artois Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Artois Nom Predictive Forecast Models

Artois Nom's time-series forecasting models is one of many Artois Nom's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Artois Nom's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Artois Nom

Checking the ongoing alerts about Artois Nom for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Artois Nom help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
About 96.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Artois Stock

Artois Nom financial ratios help investors to determine whether Artois Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Artois with respect to the benefits of owning Artois Nom security.