Autoneum Holding Ag Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Over 167.39
| ATNNF Stock | USD 156.36 0.00 0.00% |
Autoneum |
Autoneum Holding Target Price Odds to finish over 167.39
The tendency of Autoneum OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 167.39 or more in 90 days |
| 156.36 | 90 days | 167.39 | about 7.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Autoneum Holding to move over $ 167.39 or more in 90 days from now is about 7.38 (This Autoneum Holding AG probability density function shows the probability of Autoneum OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Autoneum Holding price to stay between its current price of $ 156.36 and $ 167.39 at the end of the 90-day period is about 92.57 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Autoneum Holding has a beta of 0.47. This suggests as returns on the market go up, Autoneum Holding average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Autoneum Holding AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Autoneum Holding AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Autoneum Holding Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Autoneum Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Autoneum Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Autoneum Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Autoneum Holding Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Autoneum Holding is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Autoneum Holding's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Autoneum Holding AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Autoneum Holding within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.07 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Autoneum Holding Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Autoneum Holding for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Autoneum Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Autoneum Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Autoneum Holding Technical Analysis
Autoneum Holding's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Autoneum OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Autoneum Holding AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Autoneum OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Autoneum Holding Predictive Forecast Models
Autoneum Holding's time-series forecasting models is one of many Autoneum Holding's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Autoneum Holding's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Autoneum Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about Autoneum Holding for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Autoneum Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Autoneum Holding generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 47.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Autoneum Holding Backtesting, Autoneum Holding Valuation, Autoneum Holding Correlation, Autoneum Holding Hype Analysis, Autoneum Holding Volatility, Autoneum Holding History as well as Autoneum Holding Performance. You can also try the Sync Your Broker module to sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors..
Complementary Tools for Autoneum OTC Stock analysis
When running Autoneum Holding's price analysis, check to measure Autoneum Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Autoneum Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Autoneum Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Autoneum Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Autoneum Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Autoneum Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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