Blckrk Lc Cr Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 8.35
| BCLPX Fund | USD 8.32 0.01 0.12% |
Blckrk |
Blckrk Lc Target Price Odds to finish below 8.35
The tendency of Blckrk Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 8.35 after 90 days |
| 8.32 | 90 days | 8.35 | about 69.37 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blckrk Lc to stay under $ 8.35 after 90 days from now is about 69.37 (This Blckrk Lc Cr probability density function shows the probability of Blckrk Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blckrk Lc Cr price to stay between its current price of $ 8.32 and $ 8.35 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.51 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Blckrk Lc has a beta of 0.18 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Blckrk Lc average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Blckrk Lc Cr will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Blckrk Lc Cr has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Blckrk Lc Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Blckrk Lc
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blckrk Lc Cr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Blckrk Lc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Blckrk Lc Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blckrk Lc is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blckrk Lc's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blckrk Lc Cr, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blckrk Lc within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.18 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.29 |
Blckrk Lc Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blckrk Lc for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blckrk Lc Cr can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Blckrk Lc Cr generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds about 55.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Blckrk Lc Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Blckrk Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Blckrk Lc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Blckrk Lc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Blckrk Lc Technical Analysis
Blckrk Lc's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blckrk Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blckrk Lc Cr. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blckrk Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Blckrk Lc Predictive Forecast Models
Blckrk Lc's time-series forecasting models is one of many Blckrk Lc's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blckrk Lc's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Blckrk Lc Cr
Checking the ongoing alerts about Blckrk Lc for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blckrk Lc Cr help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Blckrk Lc Cr generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The fund holds about 55.48% of its assets under management (AUM) in cash |
Check out Blckrk Lc Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Blckrk Lc Correlation, Blckrk Lc Hype Analysis, Blckrk Lc Volatility, Blckrk Lc History as well as Blckrk Lc Performance. You can also try the Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.