Betterware De Mxico, Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.91

BWMX Stock  USD 15.69  0.00  0.00%   
Betterware's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Betterware de Mxico,. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Betterware based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Betterware de Mxico, over a specific time period. For example, 2024-06-21 CALL at $12.5 is a CALL option contract on Betterware's common stock with a strick price of 12.5 expiring on 2024-06-21. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-26 at 09:43:49 for $5.5 and, as of today, has 3 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.35, and an ask price of $5.3. The implied volatility as of the 18th of June 2024 is 183.85. View All Betterware options

Closest to current price Betterware long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Betterware's future price is the expected price of Betterware instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Betterware de Mxico, performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Betterware Backtesting, Betterware Valuation, Betterware Correlation, Betterware Hype Analysis, Betterware Volatility, Betterware History as well as Betterware Performance.
  
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to rise to 0.29 in 2024, whereas Price To Sales Ratio is likely to drop 0.64 in 2024. Please specify Betterware's target price for which you would like Betterware odds to be computed.

Betterware Target Price Odds to finish over 16.91

The tendency of Betterware Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over $ 16.91  or more in 90 days
 15.69 90 days 16.91 
about 67.45
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Betterware to move over $ 16.91  or more in 90 days from now is about 67.45 (This Betterware de Mxico, probability density function shows the probability of Betterware Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Betterware de Mxico, price to stay between its current price of $ 15.69  and $ 16.91  at the end of the 90-day period is about 24.77 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.23 suggesting as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Betterware will likely underperform. Additionally Betterware de Mxico, has an alpha of 0.2267, implying that it can generate a 0.23 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Betterware Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Betterware

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Betterware de Mxico,. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Betterware's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.1315.9118.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.0316.8119.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.8914.6717.46
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
15.3916.9118.77
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Betterware. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Betterware's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Betterware's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Betterware de Mxico,.

Betterware Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Betterware is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Betterware's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Betterware de Mxico,, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Betterware within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.23
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.23
σ
Overall volatility
1.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.07

Betterware Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Betterware for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Betterware de Mxico, can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Betterware de Mxico, generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 23rd of May 2024 Betterware paid $ 0.3515 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: We Think Betterware de MxicoP.I. de Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Betterware Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Betterware Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Betterware's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Betterware's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding37.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments549.7 M

Betterware Technical Analysis

Betterware's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Betterware Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Betterware de Mxico,. In general, you should focus on analyzing Betterware Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Betterware Predictive Forecast Models

Betterware's time-series forecasting models is one of many Betterware's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Betterware's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Betterware de Mxico,

Checking the ongoing alerts about Betterware for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Betterware de Mxico, help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Betterware de Mxico, generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 54.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders
On 23rd of May 2024 Betterware paid $ 0.3515 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from simplywall.st: We Think Betterware de MxicoP.I. de Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

Additional Tools for Betterware Stock Analysis

When running Betterware's price analysis, check to measure Betterware's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Betterware is operating at the current time. Most of Betterware's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Betterware's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Betterware's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Betterware to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.