Comcast Holdings Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 54.81
| CCZ Stock | USD 59.99 2.47 4.29% |
Comcast |
Comcast Holdings Target Price Odds to finish below 54.81
The tendency of Comcast Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 54.81 or more in 90 days |
| 59.99 | 90 days | 54.81 | about 14.35 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Comcast Holdings to drop to $ 54.81 or more in 90 days from now is about 14.35 (This Comcast Holdings Corp probability density function shows the probability of Comcast Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Comcast Holdings Corp price to stay between $ 54.81 and its current price of $59.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 85.32 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Comcast Holdings Corp has a beta of -0.15 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Comcast Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Comcast Holdings Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Comcast Holdings Corp has an alpha of 0.1182, implying that it can generate a 0.12 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Comcast Holdings Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Comcast Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Comcast Holdings Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Comcast Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Comcast Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Comcast Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Comcast Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Comcast Holdings Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Comcast Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.12 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.07 |
Comcast Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Comcast Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Comcast Holdings Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Comcast Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Comcast Holdings Corp has 97.09 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 39.5, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Comcast Holdings Corp has a current ratio of 0.55, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Comcast to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| On 15th of April 2024 Comcast Holdings paid $ 1.2138 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global Ad Revenue to Surpass 1 Trillion in 2025 as GroupM Boosts 2024 Forecast for U.S., China |
Comcast Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Comcast Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Comcast Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Comcast Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.1 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.2 B |
Comcast Holdings Technical Analysis
Comcast Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Comcast Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Comcast Holdings Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Comcast Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Comcast Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Comcast Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Comcast Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Comcast Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Comcast Holdings Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Comcast Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Comcast Holdings Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Comcast Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Comcast Holdings Corp has 97.09 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 39.5, demonstrating that the company may be unable to create cash to meet all of its financial commitments. Comcast Holdings Corp has a current ratio of 0.55, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Comcast to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| On 15th of April 2024 Comcast Holdings paid $ 1.2138 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Global Ad Revenue to Surpass 1 Trillion in 2025 as GroupM Boosts 2024 Forecast for U.S., China |
Additional Tools for Comcast Stock Analysis
When running Comcast Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Comcast Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Comcast Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Comcast Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Comcast Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Comcast Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Comcast Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.