Cielo SA (Brazil) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.26
| CIEL3 Stock | BRL 5.64 0.01 0.18% |
Cielo |
Cielo SA Target Price Odds to finish over 6.26
The tendency of Cielo Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 6.26 or more in 90 days |
| 5.64 | 90 days | 6.26 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Cielo SA to move over R$ 6.26 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Cielo SA probability density function shows the probability of Cielo Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Cielo SA price to stay between its current price of R$ 5.64 and R$ 6.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Cielo SA has a beta of 0.21 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Cielo SA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Cielo SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Cielo SA has an alpha of 0.1029, implying that it can generate a 0.1 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Cielo SA Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Cielo SA
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cielo SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Cielo SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Cielo SA Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Cielo SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Cielo SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Cielo SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Cielo SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.10 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.16 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.18 |
Cielo SA Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Cielo SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Cielo SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Cielo SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Cielo SA has accumulated about 2.77 B in cash with (2.13 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02. | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Cielo SA Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Cielo Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Cielo SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Cielo SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.9 B |
Cielo SA Technical Analysis
Cielo SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Cielo Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Cielo SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Cielo Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Cielo SA Predictive Forecast Models
Cielo SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Cielo SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Cielo SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Cielo SA
Checking the ongoing alerts about Cielo SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Cielo SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Cielo SA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Cielo SA has accumulated about 2.77 B in cash with (2.13 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.02. | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Additional Tools for Cielo Stock Analysis
When running Cielo SA's price analysis, check to measure Cielo SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cielo SA is operating at the current time. Most of Cielo SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cielo SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cielo SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cielo SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.