Eagle Bancorp Montana Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 12.86
| EBMT Stock | USD 12.94 0.06 0.47% |
Eagle |
Eagle Bancorp Target Price Odds to finish over 12.86
The tendency of Eagle Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 12.86 in 90 days |
| 12.94 | 90 days | 12.86 | about 58.13 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Eagle Bancorp to stay above $ 12.86 in 90 days from now is about 58.13 (This Eagle Bancorp Montana probability density function shows the probability of Eagle Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Eagle Bancorp Montana price to stay between $ 12.86 and its current price of $12.94 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.13 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Eagle Bancorp Montana has a beta of -0.25 suggesting as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Eagle Bancorp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Eagle Bancorp Montana is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Eagle Bancorp Montana has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Eagle Bancorp Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Eagle Bancorp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eagle Bancorp Montana. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eagle Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Eagle Bancorp Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Eagle Bancorp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Eagle Bancorp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Eagle Bancorp Montana, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Eagle Bancorp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.17 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.25 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.39 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.21 |
Eagle Bancorp Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Eagle Bancorp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Eagle Bancorp Montana can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Eagle Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Eagle Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Eagle Bancorp EVP buys 18.5k in company stock |
Eagle Bancorp Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Eagle Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Eagle Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eagle Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -23.2 M |
Eagle Bancorp Technical Analysis
Eagle Bancorp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Eagle Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Eagle Bancorp Montana. In general, you should focus on analyzing Eagle Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Eagle Bancorp Predictive Forecast Models
Eagle Bancorp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Eagle Bancorp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Eagle Bancorp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Eagle Bancorp Montana
Checking the ongoing alerts about Eagle Bancorp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Eagle Bancorp Montana help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Eagle Bancorp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Eagle Bancorp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: Eagle Bancorp EVP buys 18.5k in company stock |
Check out Eagle Bancorp Backtesting, Eagle Bancorp Valuation, Eagle Bancorp Correlation, Eagle Bancorp Hype Analysis, Eagle Bancorp Volatility, Eagle Bancorp History as well as Eagle Bancorp Performance. For more information on how to buy Eagle Stock please use our How to Invest in Eagle Bancorp guide.You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.
Complementary Tools for Eagle Stock analysis
When running Eagle Bancorp's price analysis, check to measure Eagle Bancorp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eagle Bancorp is operating at the current time. Most of Eagle Bancorp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eagle Bancorp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eagle Bancorp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eagle Bancorp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Eagle Bancorp's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eagle Bancorp. If investors know Eagle will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eagle Bancorp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.42) | Dividend Share 0.56 | Earnings Share 1.11 | Revenue Per Share 10.539 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) |
The market value of Eagle Bancorp Montana is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eagle that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eagle Bancorp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eagle Bancorp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eagle Bancorp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eagle Bancorp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eagle Bancorp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eagle Bancorp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eagle Bancorp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.