1st Capital Bank Stock Probability of Future OTC Stock Price Finishing Under 11.25
| FISB Stock | USD 11.49 0.01 0.09% |
1st |
1st Capital Target Price Odds to finish below 11.25
The tendency of 1st OTC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.25 or more in 90 days |
| 11.49 | 90 days | 11.25 | about 78.01 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 1st Capital to drop to $ 11.25 or more in 90 days from now is about 78.01 (This 1st Capital Bank probability density function shows the probability of 1st OTC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 1st Capital Bank price to stay between $ 11.25 and its current price of $11.49 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.15 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days 1st Capital Bank has a beta of -0.0552. This usually indicates as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding 1st Capital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, 1st Capital Bank is likely to outperform the market. Additionally 1st Capital Bank has an alpha of 0.0284, implying that it can generate a 0.0284 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). 1st Capital Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 1st Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 1st Capital Bank. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of 1st Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
1st Capital Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 1st Capital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 1st Capital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 1st Capital Bank, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 1st Capital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.41 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.0092 |
1st Capital Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 1st OTC Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 1st Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 1st Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.6 M |
1st Capital Technical Analysis
1st Capital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 1st OTC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 1st Capital Bank. In general, you should focus on analyzing 1st OTC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
1st Capital Predictive Forecast Models
1st Capital's time-series forecasting models is one of many 1st Capital's otc stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 1st Capital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the otc stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards 1st Capital in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, 1st Capital's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from 1st Capital options trading.
Check out 1st Capital Backtesting, 1st Capital Valuation, 1st Capital Correlation, 1st Capital Hype Analysis, 1st Capital Volatility, 1st Capital History as well as 1st Capital Performance. You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Complementary Tools for 1st OTC Stock analysis
When running 1st Capital's price analysis, check to measure 1st Capital's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy 1st Capital is operating at the current time. Most of 1st Capital's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of 1st Capital's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move 1st Capital's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of 1st Capital to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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