Fortis Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 39.16

FTS Stock  USD 39.91  0.13  0.33%   
Fortis' implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Fortis Inc. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Fortis based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Fortis Inc over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $40.0 is a CALL option contract on Fortis' common stock with a strick price of 40.0 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-05-02 at 11:56:39 for $0.4 and, as of today, has 13 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $0.3, and an ask price of $1.5. The implied volatility as of the 4th of May is 31.21. View All Fortis options

Closest to current price Fortis long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Fortis' future price is the expected price of Fortis instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Fortis Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Fortis Backtesting, Fortis Valuation, Fortis Correlation, Fortis Hype Analysis, Fortis Volatility, Fortis History as well as Fortis Performance.
  
At this time, Fortis' Price To Sales Ratio is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Price Earnings To Growth Ratio is likely to gain to 1.47 in 2024, whereas Price Book Value Ratio is likely to drop 0.78 in 2024. Please specify Fortis' target price for which you would like Fortis odds to be computed.

Fortis Target Price Odds to finish below 39.16

The tendency of Fortis Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 39.16  or more in 90 days
 39.91 90 days 39.16 
about 52.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Fortis to drop to $ 39.16  or more in 90 days from now is about 52.39 (This Fortis Inc probability density function shows the probability of Fortis Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Fortis Inc price to stay between $ 39.16  and its current price of $39.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 35.7 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Fortis has a beta of 0.87. This usually indicates Fortis Inc market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Fortis is expected to follow. Additionally Fortis Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Fortis Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Fortis

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fortis Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fortis' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
38.9739.9140.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.3639.3040.24
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
39.8540.8041.74
Details
14 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
37.6841.4145.97
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fortis. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fortis' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fortis' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fortis Inc.

Fortis Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Fortis is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Fortis' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Fortis Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Fortis within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.06
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.87
σ
Overall volatility
0.66
Ir
Information ratio -0.07

Fortis Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Fortis for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Fortis Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 30.03 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.27, which is OK given its current industry classification. Fortis Inc has a current ratio of 0.61, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Fortis until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fortis' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fortis Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fortis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fortis' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 58.0% of Fortis shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Fortis Inc. Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript

Fortis Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Fortis Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Fortis' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Fortis' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding486.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments625 M

Fortis Technical Analysis

Fortis' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Fortis Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Fortis Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Fortis Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Fortis Predictive Forecast Models

Fortis' time-series forecasting models is one of many Fortis' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Fortis' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Fortis Inc

Checking the ongoing alerts about Fortis for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Fortis Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company has 30.03 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.27, which is OK given its current industry classification. Fortis Inc has a current ratio of 0.61, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Fortis until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Fortis' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Fortis Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Fortis to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Fortis' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 58.0% of Fortis shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Fortis Inc. Q1 2024 Earnings Call Transcript
When determining whether Fortis Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Fortis' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Fortis' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Fortis Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Complementary Tools for Fortis Stock analysis

When running Fortis' price analysis, check to measure Fortis' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fortis is operating at the current time. Most of Fortis' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fortis' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fortis' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fortis to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fortis' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fortis. If investors know Fortis will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fortis listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.033
Dividend Share
2.31
Earnings Share
2.28
Revenue Per Share
23.168
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.06)
The market value of Fortis Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fortis that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fortis' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fortis' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fortis' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fortis' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fortis' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fortis is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fortis' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.