Gulf Keystone Petroleum Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 1.29
| GUKYF Stock | USD 1.65 0.03 1.85% |
Gulf |
Gulf Keystone Target Price Odds to finish over 1.29
The tendency of Gulf Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 1.29 in 90 days |
| 1.65 | 90 days | 1.29 | about 74.75 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gulf Keystone to stay above $ 1.29 in 90 days from now is about 74.75 (This Gulf Keystone Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of Gulf Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Gulf Keystone Petroleum price to stay between $ 1.29 and its current price of $1.65 at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.77 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the pink sheet has the beta coefficient of 1.85 . This usually indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Gulf Keystone will likely underperform. Additionally Gulf Keystone Petroleum has an alpha of 0.3624, implying that it can generate a 0.36 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Gulf Keystone Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gulf Keystone
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gulf Keystone Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gulf Keystone's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gulf Keystone Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gulf Keystone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gulf Keystone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gulf Keystone Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gulf Keystone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.36 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.12 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Gulf Keystone Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gulf Keystone for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gulf Keystone Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gulf Keystone may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Gulf Keystone appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Gulf Keystone Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gulf Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gulf Keystone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gulf Keystone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 213.7 M |
Gulf Keystone Technical Analysis
Gulf Keystone's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gulf Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Gulf Keystone Petroleum. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gulf Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gulf Keystone Predictive Forecast Models
Gulf Keystone's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gulf Keystone's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gulf Keystone's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Gulf Keystone Petroleum
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gulf Keystone for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Gulf Keystone Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gulf Keystone may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Gulf Keystone appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues |
Check out Gulf Keystone Backtesting, Gulf Keystone Valuation, Gulf Keystone Correlation, Gulf Keystone Hype Analysis, Gulf Keystone Volatility, Gulf Keystone History as well as Gulf Keystone Performance. You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Gulf Pink Sheet analysis
When running Gulf Keystone's price analysis, check to measure Gulf Keystone's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gulf Keystone is operating at the current time. Most of Gulf Keystone's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gulf Keystone's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gulf Keystone's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gulf Keystone to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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