John Hancock Tax Fund Probability of Future Fund Price Finishing Over 19.39
| HTD Fund | USD 20.28 0.05 0.25% |
John |
John Hancock Target Price Odds to finish over 19.39
The tendency of John Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 19.39 in 90 days |
| 20.28 | 90 days | 19.39 | about 63.41 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of John Hancock to stay above $ 19.39 in 90 days from now is about 63.41 (This John Hancock Tax probability density function shows the probability of John Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of John Hancock Tax price to stay between $ 19.39 and its current price of $20.28 at the end of the 90-day period is about 45.76 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the fund has the beta coefficient of 1.05 . This usually indicates John Hancock Tax market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, John Hancock is expected to follow. Additionally John Hancock Tax has an alpha of 0.0897, implying that it can generate a 0.0897 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). John Hancock Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for John Hancock
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as John Hancock Tax. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of John Hancock's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
John Hancock Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. John Hancock is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the John Hancock's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold John Hancock Tax, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of John Hancock within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.09 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.05 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.70 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.1 |
John Hancock Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of John Hancock for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for John Hancock Tax can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Report - Stock Traders Daily |
John Hancock Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of John Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential John Hancock's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. John Hancock's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
John Hancock Technical Analysis
John Hancock's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. John Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of John Hancock Tax. In general, you should focus on analyzing John Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
John Hancock Predictive Forecast Models
John Hancock's time-series forecasting models is one of many John Hancock's fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary John Hancock's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about John Hancock Tax
Checking the ongoing alerts about John Hancock for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for John Hancock Tax help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Trading Report - Stock Traders Daily |
Other Information on Investing in John Fund
John Hancock financial ratios help investors to determine whether John Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in John with respect to the benefits of owning John Hancock security.
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