Interactive Brokers Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 119.13

IBKR Stock  USD 125.72  1.57  1.23%   
Interactive Brokers' future price is the expected price of Interactive Brokers instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Interactive Brokers Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Interactive Brokers Backtesting, Interactive Brokers Valuation, Interactive Brokers Correlation, Interactive Brokers Hype Analysis, Interactive Brokers Volatility, Interactive Brokers History as well as Interactive Brokers Performance.
  
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Interactive Brokers Target Price Odds to finish below 119.13

The tendency of Interactive Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 119.13  or more in 90 days
 125.72 90 days 119.13 
about 71.65
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Interactive Brokers to drop to $ 119.13  or more in 90 days from now is about 71.65 (This Interactive Brokers Group probability density function shows the probability of Interactive Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Interactive Brokers price to stay between $ 119.13  and its current price of $125.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 22.43 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Interactive Brokers has a beta of 0.65. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Interactive Brokers average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Interactive Brokers Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Interactive Brokers Group has an alpha of 0.202, implying that it can generate a 0.2 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Interactive Brokers Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Interactive Brokers

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Interactive Brokers. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Interactive Brokers' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
124.47125.72126.97
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
113.15143.66144.91
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
124.02125.28126.53
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
115.39122.63129.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Interactive Brokers. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Interactive Brokers' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Interactive Brokers' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Interactive Brokers.

Interactive Brokers Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Interactive Brokers is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Interactive Brokers' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Interactive Brokers Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Interactive Brokers within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.20
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.65
σ
Overall volatility
6.59
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Interactive Brokers Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Interactive Brokers for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Interactive Brokers can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Interactive Brokers Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Interactive Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Interactive Brokers' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Interactive Brokers' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding105.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments73.8 B

Interactive Brokers Technical Analysis

Interactive Brokers' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Interactive Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Interactive Brokers Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Interactive Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Interactive Brokers Predictive Forecast Models

Interactive Brokers' time-series forecasting models is one of many Interactive Brokers' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Interactive Brokers' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Interactive Brokers

Checking the ongoing alerts about Interactive Brokers for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Interactive Brokers help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Over 89.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors

Additional Tools for Interactive Stock Analysis

When running Interactive Brokers' price analysis, check to measure Interactive Brokers' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Interactive Brokers is operating at the current time. Most of Interactive Brokers' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Interactive Brokers' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Interactive Brokers' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Interactive Brokers to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.