Industrial (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.48
| ICK Stock | EUR 0.50 0.01 2.04% |
Industrial |
Industrial Target Price Odds to finish over 0.48
The tendency of Industrial Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above € 0.48 in 90 days |
| 0.50 | 90 days | 0.48 | about 50.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Industrial to stay above € 0.48 in 90 days from now is about 50.0 (This Industrial and Commercial probability density function shows the probability of Industrial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Industrial and Commercial price to stay between € 0.48 and its current price of €0.5 at the end of the 90-day period is about 46.92 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.07 . This usually indicates Industrial and Commercial market returns are reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Industrial is expected to follow. Additionally Industrial and Commercial has an alpha of 0.3286, implying that it can generate a 0.33 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Industrial Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Industrial
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Industrial and Commercial. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Industrial's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Industrial Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Industrial is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Industrial's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Industrial and Commercial, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Industrial within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.33 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
Industrial Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Industrial for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Industrial and Commercial can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Industrial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Industrial Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Industrial Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Industrial's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Industrial's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 356.4 B |
Industrial Technical Analysis
Industrial's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Industrial Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Industrial and Commercial. In general, you should focus on analyzing Industrial Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Industrial Predictive Forecast Models
Industrial's time-series forecasting models is one of many Industrial's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Industrial's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Industrial and Commercial
Checking the ongoing alerts about Industrial for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Industrial and Commercial help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Industrial has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock |
Check out Industrial Backtesting, Industrial Valuation, Industrial Correlation, Industrial Hype Analysis, Industrial Volatility, Industrial History as well as Industrial Performance. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .
Complementary Tools for Industrial Stock analysis
When running Industrial's price analysis, check to measure Industrial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Industrial is operating at the current time. Most of Industrial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Industrial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Industrial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Industrial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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