Kingdee International Software Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.81
| KGDEF Stock | USD 0.97 0.00 0.00% |
Kingdee |
Kingdee International Target Price Odds to finish over 0.81
The tendency of Kingdee Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 0.81 in 90 days |
| 0.97 | 90 days | 0.81 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kingdee International to stay above $ 0.81 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Kingdee International Software probability density function shows the probability of Kingdee Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Kingdee International price to stay between $ 0.81 and its current price of $0.97 at the end of the 90-day period is about 49.84 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Kingdee International has a beta of 0.0341. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Kingdee International average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Kingdee International Software will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Kingdee International Software has an alpha of 0.0062, implying that it can generate a 0.006204 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Kingdee International Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kingdee International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kingdee International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kingdee International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kingdee International Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kingdee International is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kingdee International's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kingdee International Software, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kingdee International within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.03 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.14 |
Kingdee International Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kingdee International for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kingdee International can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kingdee International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.17 B. Net Loss for the year was (302.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.63 B. | |
| About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Kingdee International Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kingdee Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kingdee International's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kingdee International's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 3.5 B |
Kingdee International Technical Analysis
Kingdee International's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Kingdee Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Kingdee International Software. In general, you should focus on analyzing Kingdee Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Kingdee International Predictive Forecast Models
Kingdee International's time-series forecasting models is one of many Kingdee International's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Kingdee International's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Kingdee International
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kingdee International for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Kingdee International help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Kingdee International has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| The company reported the revenue of 4.17 B. Net Loss for the year was (302.33 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.63 B. | |
| About 20.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Kingdee Pink Sheet
Kingdee International financial ratios help investors to determine whether Kingdee Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Kingdee with respect to the benefits of owning Kingdee International security.