Lord Abbett Short Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 3.84

LDLTX Fund  USD 3.82  0.00  0.00%   
Lord Abbett's future price is the expected price of Lord Abbett instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Lord Abbett Short performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Lord Abbett Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Lord Abbett Correlation, Lord Abbett Hype Analysis, Lord Abbett Volatility, Lord Abbett History as well as Lord Abbett Performance.
  
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Lord Abbett Target Price Odds to finish below 3.84

The tendency of Lord Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under $ 3.84  after 90 days
 3.82 90 days 3.84 
about 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Lord Abbett to stay under $ 3.84  after 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This Lord Abbett Short probability density function shows the probability of Lord Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Lord Abbett Short price to stay between its current price of $ 3.82  and $ 3.84  at the end of the 90-day period is about 47.94 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Lord Abbett has a beta of 0.0169. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Lord Abbett average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Lord Abbett Short will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Lord Abbett Short has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Lord Abbett Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Lord Abbett

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lord Abbett Short. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lord Abbett's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.643.824.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.643.824.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.643.824.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.823.823.82
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Lord Abbett. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Lord Abbett's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Lord Abbett's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Lord Abbett Short.

Lord Abbett Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Lord Abbett is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Lord Abbett's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Lord Abbett Short, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Lord Abbett within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.0032
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.46

Lord Abbett Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Lord Abbett for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Lord Abbett Short can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 16.77% of its assets in bonds

Lord Abbett Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Lord Mutual Fund often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Lord Abbett's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lord Abbett's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Lord Abbett Technical Analysis

Lord Abbett's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Lord Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Lord Abbett Short. In general, you should focus on analyzing Lord Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Lord Abbett Predictive Forecast Models

Lord Abbett's time-series forecasting models is one of many Lord Abbett's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Lord Abbett's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Lord Abbett Short

Checking the ongoing alerts about Lord Abbett for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Lord Abbett Short help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The fund maintains about 16.77% of its assets in bonds
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lord Abbett's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lord Abbett is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lord Abbett's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.