Restaurant Brands International Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 84.53
| QSR Stock | USD 68.78 2.29 3.22% |
Closest to current price Restaurant long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Restaurant |
Restaurant Brands Target Price Odds to finish over 84.53
The tendency of Restaurant Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 84.53 or more in 90 days |
| 68.78 | 90 days | 84.53 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Restaurant Brands to move over $ 84.53 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Restaurant Brands International probability density function shows the probability of Restaurant Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Restaurant Brands price to stay between its current price of $ 68.78 and $ 84.53 at the end of the 90-day period is about 88.6 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.04 indicating Restaurant Brands International market returns are sensible to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Restaurant Brands is expected to follow. Additionally Restaurant Brands International has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Restaurant Brands Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Restaurant Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Restaurant Brands. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Restaurant Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Restaurant Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Restaurant Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Restaurant Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Restaurant Brands International, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Restaurant Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.25 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.04 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 4.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Restaurant Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Restaurant Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Restaurant Brands can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Restaurant Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Restaurant Brands International has 14.25 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.71, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Restaurant Brands has a current ratio of 0.87, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Restaurant to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 86.0% of Restaurant Brands shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Restaurant Brands launches 1B first lien senior secured notes offering |
Restaurant Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Restaurant Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Restaurant Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Restaurant Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 456 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.1 B |
Restaurant Brands Technical Analysis
Restaurant Brands' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Restaurant Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Restaurant Brands International. In general, you should focus on analyzing Restaurant Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Restaurant Brands Predictive Forecast Models
Restaurant Brands' time-series forecasting models is one of many Restaurant Brands' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Restaurant Brands' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Restaurant Brands
Checking the ongoing alerts about Restaurant Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Restaurant Brands help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Restaurant Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Restaurant Brands International has 14.25 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 3.71, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Restaurant Brands has a current ratio of 0.87, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Restaurant to invest in growth at high rates of return. | |
| Over 86.0% of Restaurant Brands shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from seekingalpha.com: Restaurant Brands launches 1B first lien senior secured notes offering |
Additional Tools for Restaurant Stock Analysis
When running Restaurant Brands' price analysis, check to measure Restaurant Brands' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Restaurant Brands is operating at the current time. Most of Restaurant Brands' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Restaurant Brands' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Restaurant Brands' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Restaurant Brands to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.