Sw Seed Company Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.24
| SANW Stock | USD 0.32 0 0.66% |
Closest to current price SANW long PUT Option Payoff at Expiration
SANW |
SW Seed Target Price Odds to finish over 6.24
The tendency of SANW Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 6.24 or more in 90 days |
| 0.32 | 90 days | 6.24 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SW Seed to move over $ 6.24 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This SW Seed Company probability density function shows the probability of SANW Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of SW Seed Company price to stay between its current price of $ 0.32 and $ 6.24 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days SW Seed Company has a beta of -0.74. This usually implies as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding SW Seed are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, SW Seed Company is likely to outperform the market. Additionally SW Seed Company has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. SW Seed Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for SW Seed
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SW Seed Company. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of SW Seed's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
SW Seed Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SW Seed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SW Seed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SW Seed Company, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SW Seed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.62 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.05 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
SW Seed Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SW Seed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SW Seed Company can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SW Seed Company generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SW Seed Company has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SW Seed Company has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SW Seed Company has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| SW Seed Company currently holds about 2.06 M in cash with (18.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: SW Seed Co Earnings Call Transcript Highlights Navigating Challenges and ... |
SW Seed Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SANW Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SW Seed's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SW Seed's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 42.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.4 M |
SW Seed Technical Analysis
SW Seed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. SANW Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of SW Seed Company. In general, you should focus on analyzing SANW Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
SW Seed Predictive Forecast Models
SW Seed's time-series forecasting models is one of many SW Seed's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary SW Seed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about SW Seed Company
Checking the ongoing alerts about SW Seed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for SW Seed Company help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| SW Seed Company generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| SW Seed Company has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| SW Seed Company has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| SW Seed Company has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| SW Seed Company currently holds about 2.06 M in cash with (18.98 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 62.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: SW Seed Co Earnings Call Transcript Highlights Navigating Challenges and ... |
Additional Tools for SANW Stock Analysis
When running SW Seed's price analysis, check to measure SW Seed's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy SW Seed is operating at the current time. Most of SW Seed's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of SW Seed's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move SW Seed's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of SW Seed to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.