Timothy Largemip Cap Growth Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 12.22
| TPLIX Fund | USD 12.38 0.17 1.39% |
Timothy |
Timothy Large/mip-cap Target Price Odds to finish below 12.22
The tendency of Timothy Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 12.22 or more in 90 days |
| 12.38 | 90 days | 12.22 | about 22.3 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Timothy Large/mip-cap to drop to $ 12.22 or more in 90 days from now is about 22.3 (This Timothy Largemip Cap Growth probability density function shows the probability of Timothy Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Timothy Large/mip-cap price to stay between $ 12.22 and its current price of $12.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 20.25 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon the mutual fund has the beta coefficient of 1.13 . This usually implies Timothy Largemip Cap Growth market returns are sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Timothy Large/mip-cap is expected to follow. Additionally Timothy Largemip Cap Growth has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Timothy Large/mip-cap Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Timothy Large/mip-cap
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Timothy Large/mip-cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Timothy Large/mip-cap's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Timothy Large/mip-cap Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Timothy Large/mip-cap is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Timothy Large/mip-cap's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Timothy Largemip Cap Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Timothy Large/mip-cap within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.03 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.28 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Timothy Large/mip-cap Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Timothy Large/mip-cap for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Timothy Large/mip-cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.Timothy Large/mip-cap Technical Analysis
Timothy Large/mip-cap's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Timothy Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Timothy Largemip Cap Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Timothy Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Timothy Large/mip-cap Predictive Forecast Models
Timothy Large/mip-cap's time-series forecasting models is one of many Timothy Large/mip-cap's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Timothy Large/mip-cap's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Timothy Large/mip-cap
Checking the ongoing alerts about Timothy Large/mip-cap for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Timothy Large/mip-cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Check out Timothy Large/mip-cap Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Timothy Large/mip-cap Correlation, Timothy Large/mip-cap Hype Analysis, Timothy Large/mip-cap Volatility, Timothy Large/mip-cap History as well as Timothy Large/mip-cap Performance. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .