Advantus Managed Volatility Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Over 7.76
| VMEIXDelisted Fund | USD 7.76 0.00 0.00% |
Advantus |
Advantus Managed Target Price Odds to finish over 7.76
The tendency of Advantus Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 7.76 | 90 days | 7.76 | about 37.61 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Advantus Managed to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 37.61 (This Advantus Managed Volatility probability density function shows the probability of Advantus Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Advantus Managed Volatility has a beta of -0.3. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Advantus Managed are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Advantus Managed Volatility is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Advantus Managed Volatility has an alpha of 0.2165, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Advantus Managed Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Advantus Managed
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Advantus Managed Vol. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Advantus Managed's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Advantus Managed Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Advantus Managed is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Advantus Managed's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Advantus Managed Volatility, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Advantus Managed within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -0.3 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.38 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.02 |
Advantus Managed Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Advantus Managed for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Advantus Managed Vol can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Advantus Managed Vol is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Advantus Managed Vol has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The fund keeps about 11.0% of its net assets in cash |
Advantus Managed Technical Analysis
Advantus Managed's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Advantus Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Advantus Managed Volatility. In general, you should focus on analyzing Advantus Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Advantus Managed Predictive Forecast Models
Advantus Managed's time-series forecasting models is one of many Advantus Managed's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Advantus Managed's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Advantus Managed Vol
Checking the ongoing alerts about Advantus Managed for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Advantus Managed Vol help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Advantus Managed Vol is not yet fully synchronised with the market data | |
| Advantus Managed Vol has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The fund keeps about 11.0% of its net assets in cash |
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in gross domestic product. You can also try the Portfolio Optimization module to compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk.
Other Consideration for investing in Advantus Mutual Fund
If you are still planning to invest in Advantus Managed Vol check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Advantus Managed's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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