Vodafone Group Plc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 8.62
| VOD Stock | USD 8.60 0.14 1.65% |
Closest to current price Vodafone long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Vodafone |
Vodafone Group Target Price Odds to finish over 8.62
The tendency of Vodafone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 8.62 or more in 90 days |
| 8.60 | 90 days | 8.62 | about 46.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vodafone Group to move over $ 8.62 or more in 90 days from now is about 46.93 (This Vodafone Group PLC probability density function shows the probability of Vodafone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vodafone Group PLC price to stay between its current price of $ 8.60 and $ 8.62 at the end of the 90-day period is under 4.
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vodafone Group has a beta of 0.0678. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vodafone Group average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vodafone Group PLC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vodafone Group PLC has an alpha of 0.0359, implying that it can generate a 0.0359 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vodafone Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vodafone Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vodafone Group PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vodafone Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vodafone Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vodafone Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vodafone Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vodafone Group PLC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vodafone Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.07 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
Vodafone Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vodafone Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vodafone Group PLC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vodafone Group PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has 66.39 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.27, which is OK given its current industry classification. Vodafone Group PLC has a current ratio of 0.83, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Vodafone Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vodafone Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vodafone Group PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vodafone to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vodafone Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from livemint.com: Vodafone Idea Share Price Live blog for 09 May 2024 |
Vodafone Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vodafone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vodafone Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vodafone Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 2.8 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20 B |
Vodafone Group Technical Analysis
Vodafone Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vodafone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vodafone Group PLC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vodafone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vodafone Group Predictive Forecast Models
Vodafone Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vodafone Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vodafone Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vodafone Group PLC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vodafone Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vodafone Group PLC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vodafone Group PLC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has 66.39 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 1.27, which is OK given its current industry classification. Vodafone Group PLC has a current ratio of 0.83, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Vodafone Group until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vodafone Group's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vodafone Group PLC sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vodafone to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vodafone Group's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Latest headline from livemint.com: Vodafone Idea Share Price Live blog for 09 May 2024 |
Check out Vodafone Group Backtesting, Vodafone Group Valuation, Vodafone Group Correlation, Vodafone Group Hype Analysis, Vodafone Group Volatility, Vodafone Group History as well as Vodafone Group Performance. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Vodafone Stock analysis
When running Vodafone Group's price analysis, check to measure Vodafone Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vodafone Group is operating at the current time. Most of Vodafone Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vodafone Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vodafone Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vodafone Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vodafone Group's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vodafone Group. If investors know Vodafone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vodafone Group listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 8.21 | Dividend Share 0.09 | Earnings Share 4.08 | Revenue Per Share 8.225 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of Vodafone Group PLC is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vodafone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vodafone Group's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vodafone Group's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vodafone Group's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vodafone Group's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vodafone Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vodafone Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vodafone Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.