Vanguard Large Cap Index Etf Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 229.76

VV Etf  USD 233.91  0.37  0.16%   
Vanguard Large's implied volatility is one of the determining factors in the pricing options written on Vanguard Large Cap Index. Implied volatility approximates the future value of Vanguard Large based on the option's current value. Options with high implied volatility have higher premiums and can be used to hedge the downside of investing in Vanguard Large Cap Index over a specific time period. For example, 2024-05-17 CALL at $235.0 is a CALL option contract on Vanguard Large's common stock with a strick price of 235.0 expiring on 2024-05-17. The contract was last traded on 2024-04-15 at 14:39:57 for $3.39 and, as of today, has 17 days remaining before the expiration. The option is currently trading at a bid price of $1.4, and an ask price of $3.8. The implied volatility as of the 30th of April is 14.22. View All Vanguard options

Closest to current price Vanguard long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration

Vanguard Large's future price is the expected price of Vanguard Large instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vanguard Large Cap Index performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vanguard Large Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Large Correlation, Vanguard Large Hype Analysis, Vanguard Large Volatility, Vanguard Large History as well as Vanguard Large Performance.
  
Please specify Vanguard Large's target price for which you would like Vanguard Large odds to be computed.

Vanguard Large Target Price Odds to finish below 229.76

The tendency of Vanguard Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 229.76  or more in 90 days
 233.91 90 days 229.76 
about 26.57
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Large to drop to $ 229.76  or more in 90 days from now is about 26.57 (This Vanguard Large Cap Index probability density function shows the probability of Vanguard Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vanguard Large Cap price to stay between $ 229.76  and its current price of $233.91 at the end of the 90-day period is about 32.52 .
Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon Vanguard Large has a beta of 0.62. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vanguard Large average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vanguard Large Cap Index will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vanguard Large Cap Index has an alpha of 0.0336, implying that it can generate a 0.0336 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vanguard Large Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Large

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Large Cap. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Large's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
233.24233.98234.72
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
232.95233.69234.43
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
236.35237.09237.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
227.11234.93242.74
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vanguard Large. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vanguard Large's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vanguard Large's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vanguard Large Cap.

Vanguard Large Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Large is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Large's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Large Cap Index, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Large within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.03
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.62
σ
Overall volatility
4.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.02

Vanguard Large Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Large for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Large Cap can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Crestwood Advisors Group LLC Takes Position in Vanguard Large-Cap ETF - Defense World
The fund keeps 99.69% of its net assets in stocks

Vanguard Large Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vanguard Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vanguard Large's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vanguard Large's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.

Vanguard Large Technical Analysis

Vanguard Large's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vanguard Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Large Cap Index. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vanguard Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vanguard Large Predictive Forecast Models

Vanguard Large's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Large's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Large's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vanguard Large Cap

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Large for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Large Cap help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Crestwood Advisors Group LLC Takes Position in Vanguard Large-Cap ETF - Defense World
The fund keeps 99.69% of its net assets in stocks
When determining whether Vanguard Large Cap is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vanguard Large's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vanguard Large's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vanguard Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Vanguard Large Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Large Correlation, Vanguard Large Hype Analysis, Vanguard Large Volatility, Vanguard Large History as well as Vanguard Large Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
The market value of Vanguard Large Cap is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vanguard that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vanguard Large's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vanguard Large's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vanguard Large's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vanguard Large's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vanguard Large's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vanguard Large is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vanguard Large's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.