Wipro (Germany) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.93

WIOA Stock  EUR 4.70  0.12  2.49%   
Wipro's future price is the expected price of Wipro instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wipro Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wipro Backtesting, Wipro Valuation, Wipro Correlation, Wipro Hype Analysis, Wipro Volatility, Wipro History as well as Wipro Performance.
  
Please specify Wipro's target price for which you would like Wipro odds to be computed.

Wipro Target Price Odds to finish over 4.93

The tendency of Wipro Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 4.93  or more in 90 days
 4.70 90 days 4.93 
about 85.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wipro to move over € 4.93  or more in 90 days from now is about 85.01 (This Wipro Limited probability density function shows the probability of Wipro Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wipro Limited price to stay between its current price of € 4.70  and € 4.93  at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.04 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wipro Limited has a beta of -0.15. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wipro are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wipro Limited is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wipro Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Wipro Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wipro

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wipro Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wipro's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
3.154.706.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.604.155.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.174.716.26
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
4.744.935.12
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wipro. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wipro's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wipro's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wipro Limited.

Wipro Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wipro is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wipro's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wipro Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wipro within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.31
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.15
σ
Overall volatility
0.27
Ir
Information ratio -0.23

Wipro Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wipro for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wipro Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wipro Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Wipro Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wipro Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wipro's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wipro's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding5.5 B

Wipro Technical Analysis

Wipro's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wipro Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wipro Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wipro Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wipro Predictive Forecast Models

Wipro's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wipro's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wipro's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wipro Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wipro for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wipro Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wipro Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Check out Wipro Backtesting, Wipro Valuation, Wipro Correlation, Wipro Hype Analysis, Wipro Volatility, Wipro History as well as Wipro Performance.
You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

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When running Wipro's price analysis, check to measure Wipro's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wipro is operating at the current time. Most of Wipro's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wipro's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wipro's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wipro to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Wipro's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wipro is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wipro's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.