Alphabet (Germany) Market Value
| ABEC Stock | EUR 146.92 2.24 1.50% |
| Symbol | Alphabet |
Alphabet 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Alphabet's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Alphabet.
| 03/27/2024 |
| 04/26/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Alphabet on March 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Alphabet or generate 0.0% return on investment in Alphabet over 30 days. Alphabet is related to or competes with Alphabet, Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta Platforms. Alphabet Inc. provides online advertising services in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacif... More
Alphabet Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Alphabet's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Alphabet upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 2.09 | |||
| Information Ratio | 0.0442 | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 9.15 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.31) | |||
| Potential Upside | 2.49 |
Alphabet Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Alphabet's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Alphabet's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Alphabet historical prices to predict the future Alphabet's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0655 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.1864 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.06) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | 0.037 | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.38) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alphabet's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alphabet Backtested Returns
We consider Alphabet very steady. Alphabet secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.035, which signifies that the company had a 0.035% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Alphabet, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm Alphabet's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0655, mean deviation of 1.23, and Downside Deviation of 2.09 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0624%. Alphabet has a performance score of 2 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of -0.4, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Alphabet are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Alphabet is likely to outperform the market. Alphabet right now shows a risk of 1.78%. Please confirm Alphabet standard deviation, total risk alpha, treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the jensen alpha and sortino ratio , to decide if Alphabet will be following its price patterns.
Auto-correlation | -0.03 |
Very weak reverse predictability
Alphabet has very weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Alphabet time series from 27th of March 2024 to 11th of April 2024 and 11th of April 2024 to 26th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Alphabet price movement. The serial correlation of -0.03 indicates that only 3.0% of current Alphabet price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.03 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | -0.43 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.82 |
Alphabet lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Alphabet stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Alphabet's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Alphabet returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Alphabet has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Alphabet regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Alphabet stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Alphabet stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Alphabet stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Alphabet Lagged Returns
When evaluating Alphabet's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Alphabet stock have on its future price. Alphabet autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Alphabet autocorrelation shows the relationship between Alphabet stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Alphabet.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Alphabet in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Alphabet's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Alphabet options trading.
Pair Trading with Alphabet
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Alphabet position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Alphabet will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Alphabet Stock
| 1.0 | ABEA | Alphabet Class A | PairCorr |
| 0.95 | ABEA | Alphabet Class A | PairCorr |
| 0.79 | NNN1 | Tencent Holdings | PairCorr |
Moving against Alphabet Stock
| 0.75 | TCID | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | PTI | Perusahaan Perseroan | PairCorr |
| 0.69 | E908 | Lyxor 1 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Alphabet could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Alphabet when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Alphabet - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Alphabet to buy it.
The correlation of Alphabet is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Alphabet moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Alphabet moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Alphabet can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Alphabet Correlation, Alphabet Volatility and Alphabet Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Alphabet. Note that the Alphabet information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Alphabet's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Alphabet Stock analysis
When running Alphabet's price analysis, check to measure Alphabet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alphabet is operating at the current time. Most of Alphabet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alphabet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alphabet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alphabet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Alphabet technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.