AMC Entertainment Probability of Target Price

AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 13.7  0.05  0.36%

AMC Entertainment probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify AMC Entertainment time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like AMC Entertainment odds to be computed. Check also AMC Entertainment Backtesting, AMC Entertainment Valuation, AMC Entertainment Correlation, AMC Entertainment Hype Analysis, AMC Entertainment Volatility, AMC Entertainment History as well as AMC Entertainment Performance
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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Odds Analysis

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 13.7 30 days 15.8  about 24.18% about 75.66%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of AMC Entertainment to stay under $ 15.8  after 30 days from now is about 75.66%. Probability of AMC Entertainment Ho price to stay between its current price of $ 13.7  and $ 15.8  at the end of the 30-day period is about 68.66%.
Considering 30-days investment horizon, the stock has beta coefficient of 3.6529 . This suggests as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are expected to be negative, AMC Entertainment will likely underperform. Additionally AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
76.0%
Odds to stay under $ 15.8  after 30 days
 AMC Entertainment Price Density 
 
 Prices     
Current Price   Target Price   
α
Alpha over DOW
=(1.37) 
βBeta against DOW= 3.65 
σ
Overall volatility
= 0.97 
 IrInformation ratio =(0.31)