AMC Entertainment Probability of Target Price Finishing Above 15.8

AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 14.10  0.05  0.35%

AMC Entertainment probability of target price tool provides mechanism to make assumptions about upside and downside potential of AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Please specify AMC Entertainment time horizon, a valid symbol (red box) and a target price (blue box) you would like AMC Entertainment odds to be computed. Check also AMC Entertainment Backtesting, AMC Entertainment Valuation, AMC Entertainment Correlation, AMC Entertainment Hype Analysis, AMC Entertainment Volatility, AMC Entertainment History as well as AMC Entertainment Performance
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change
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AMC Entertainment Target Price Odds to finish below 15.8

Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceAbove OddsBelow Odds
 14.10 30 days 15.80  about 11.02% about 88.85%
Based on normal probability distribution, the odds of AMC Entertainment to stay under $ 15.80  after 30 days from now is about 88.85%. Probability of AMC Entertainment Ho price to stay between its current price of $ 14.10  and $ 15.80  at the end of the 30-day period is about 80.92%.
Considering 30-days investment horizon, AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc has beta of -0.5457 . This suggests as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding AMC Entertainment are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc is likely to outperform the market. Additionally AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming DOW
Odds to stay under $ 15.80  after 30 days
 AMC Entertainment Price Density 
Current Price   Target Price   
Alpha over DOW
Beta against DOW=0.55
Overall volatility
Information ratio =0.004238