Harte Hanks Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 7.59
| HHS Stock | USD 7.11 0.05 0.71% |
Harte |
Harte Hanks Target Price Odds to finish below 7.59
The tendency of Harte Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 7.59 after 90 days |
| 7.11 | 90 days | 7.59 | about 65.07 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Harte Hanks to stay under $ 7.59 after 90 days from now is about 65.07 (This Harte Hanks probability density function shows the probability of Harte Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Harte Hanks price to stay between its current price of $ 7.11 and $ 7.59 at the end of the 90-day period is about 50.87 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Harte Hanks has a beta of 0.12. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Harte Hanks average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Harte Hanks will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Harte Hanks has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Harte Hanks Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Harte Hanks
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Harte Hanks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Harte Hanks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Harte Hanks Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Harte Hanks is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Harte Hanks' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Harte Hanks, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Harte Hanks within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.14 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.12 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.15 |
Harte Hanks Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Harte Hanks for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Harte Hanks can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Harte Hanks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 191.49 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.57 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 35.81 M. | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from huffpost.com: Federal Agency Finalizes Rule For Disability Protections In Historic Move |
Harte Hanks Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Harte Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Harte Hanks' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Harte Hanks' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 18.4 M |
Harte Hanks Technical Analysis
Harte Hanks' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Harte Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Harte Hanks. In general, you should focus on analyzing Harte Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Harte Hanks Predictive Forecast Models
Harte Hanks' time-series forecasting models is one of many Harte Hanks' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Harte Hanks' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Harte Hanks
Checking the ongoing alerts about Harte Hanks for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Harte Hanks help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Harte Hanks generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 191.49 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (1.57 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 35.81 M. | |
| About 28.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from huffpost.com: Federal Agency Finalizes Rule For Disability Protections In Historic Move |
Check out Harte Hanks Backtesting, Harte Hanks Valuation, Harte Hanks Correlation, Harte Hanks Hype Analysis, Harte Hanks Volatility, Harte Hanks History as well as Harte Hanks Performance. For more information on how to buy Harte Stock please use our How to Invest in Harte Hanks guide.Note that the Harte Hanks information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Harte Hanks' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Harte Stock analysis
When running Harte Hanks' price analysis, check to measure Harte Hanks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harte Hanks is operating at the current time. Most of Harte Hanks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harte Hanks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harte Hanks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harte Hanks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Harte Hanks' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Harte Hanks. If investors know Harte will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Harte Hanks listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.90) | Earnings Share (0.21) | Revenue Per Share 26.196 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.1) | Return On Assets 0.0291 |
The market value of Harte Hanks is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Harte that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Harte Hanks' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Harte Hanks' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Harte Hanks' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Harte Hanks' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Harte Hanks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harte Hanks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harte Hanks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.