Abercrombie Fitch Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| ANF Stock | USD 129.16 0.40 0.31% |
Abercrombie Fitch fundamentals help investors to digest information that contributes to Abercrombie Fitch's financial success or failures. It also enables traders to predict the movement of Abercrombie Stock. The fundamental analysis module provides a way to measure Abercrombie Fitch's intrinsic value by examining its available economic and financial indicators, including the cash flow records, the balance sheet account changes, the income statement patterns, and various microeconomic indicators and financial ratios related to Abercrombie Fitch stock.
Abercrombie | Probability_Of_Bankruptcy |
Abercrombie Fitch Company chance of financial distress Analysis
Abercrombie Fitch's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability_Of_Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Abercrombie Fitch Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 5% |
Most of Abercrombie Fitch's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Abercrombie Fitch is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Abercrombie Fitch probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Abercrombie Fitch odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Abercrombie Fitch financial health.
Is Abercrombie Fitch's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Abercrombie Fitch. If investors know Abercrombie will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Abercrombie Fitch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.99 | Earnings Share 6.22 | Revenue Per Share 85.188 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.211 | Return On Assets 0.1079 |
The market value of Abercrombie Fitch is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Abercrombie that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Abercrombie Fitch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Abercrombie Fitch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Abercrombie Fitch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Abercrombie Fitch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Abercrombie Fitch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Abercrombie Fitch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Abercrombie Fitch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Abercrombie Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Abercrombie Fitch is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Abercrombie Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Abercrombie Fitch's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Abercrombie Fitch's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Abercrombie Fitch's interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Abercrombie Fitch has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 87.92% lower than that of the Specialty Retail sector and significantly higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.
Abercrombie Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Abercrombie Fitch's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Abercrombie Fitch could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Abercrombie Fitch by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Abercrombie Fitch is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Abercrombie Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.38 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.11 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.08 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.15 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 6.73 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 51.1 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.94 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 98.06 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 4.83 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 58.00 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 5.51 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.33 X | ||||
| Revenue | 4.28 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 2.1 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 621.75 M | ||||
| Net Income | 328.12 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 517.6 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 5.25 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.05 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.85 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.30 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 20.50 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 653.24 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 3.00 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 6.22 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | (24.52) X | ||||
| Target Price | 139.0 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 6.7 K | ||||
| Beta | 1.58 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 6.58 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.97 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 2.64 B | ||||
| Working Capital | 570.45 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.18 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 534.7 M | ||||
| Five Year Return | 4.64 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 2.97 B |
About Abercrombie Fitch Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Abercrombie Fitch's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Abercrombie Fitch using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Abercrombie Fitch based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Abercrombie Fitch Investors Sentiment
The influence of Abercrombie Fitch's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Abercrombie. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Abercrombie Fitch's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Abercrombie. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Abercrombie can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Abercrombie Fitch. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Abercrombie Fitch's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Abercrombie Fitch's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Abercrombie Fitch's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Abercrombie Fitch.
Abercrombie Fitch Implied Volatility | 55.17 |
Abercrombie Fitch's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Abercrombie Fitch stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Abercrombie Fitch's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Abercrombie Fitch stock will not fluctuate a lot when Abercrombie Fitch's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Abercrombie Fitch in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Abercrombie Fitch's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Abercrombie Fitch options trading.
Pair Trading with Abercrombie Fitch
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Abercrombie Fitch position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Abercrombie Fitch will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Abercrombie Stock
| 0.61 | VIPS | Vipshop Holdings Financial Report 28th of May 2024 | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | AEO | American Eagle Outfitters Financial Report 22nd of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Abercrombie Stock
| 0.41 | DAN | Dana Inc | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Abercrombie Fitch could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Abercrombie Fitch when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Abercrombie Fitch - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Abercrombie Fitch to buy it.
The correlation of Abercrombie Fitch is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Abercrombie Fitch moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Abercrombie Fitch moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Abercrombie Fitch can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Abercrombie Fitch Piotroski F Score and Abercrombie Fitch Altman Z Score analysis. For more detail on how to invest in Abercrombie Stock please use our How to Invest in Abercrombie Fitch guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for Abercrombie Stock analysis
When running Abercrombie Fitch's price analysis, check to measure Abercrombie Fitch's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Abercrombie Fitch is operating at the current time. Most of Abercrombie Fitch's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Abercrombie Fitch's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Abercrombie Fitch's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Abercrombie Fitch to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Abercrombie Fitch's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Abercrombie Fitch. If investors know Abercrombie will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Abercrombie Fitch listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 2.99 | Earnings Share 6.22 | Revenue Per Share 85.188 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.211 | Return On Assets 0.1079 |
The market value of Abercrombie Fitch is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Abercrombie that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Abercrombie Fitch's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Abercrombie Fitch's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Abercrombie Fitch's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Abercrombie Fitch's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Abercrombie Fitch's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Abercrombie Fitch is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Abercrombie Fitch's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.