Blackstone Mortgage Trust Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy

BXMT Stock  USD 17.07  0.60  3.40%   
Blackstone Mortgage's chance of distress is under 7% at this time. It has tiny odds of undergoing some form of financial crunch in the near future. Probability of financial unrest prediction helps decision makers evaluate Blackstone Mortgage's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the Blackstone balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out Blackstone Mortgage Piotroski F Score and Blackstone Mortgage Altman Z Score analysis.
  
Market Cap is likely to gain to about 3.9 B in 2024. Enterprise Value is likely to gain to about 23.8 B in 2024

Blackstone Mortgage Trust Company probability of financial unrest Analysis

Blackstone Mortgage's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Blackstone Mortgage Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 7%  
Most of Blackstone Mortgage's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Blackstone Mortgage Trust is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Blackstone Mortgage probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Blackstone Mortgage odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Blackstone Mortgage Trust financial health.
Is Blackstone Mortgage's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blackstone Mortgage. If investors know Blackstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blackstone Mortgage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.71)
Dividend Share
2.48
Earnings Share
0.04
Revenue Per Share
0.948
Quarterly Revenue Growth
15.955
The market value of Blackstone Mortgage Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blackstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blackstone Mortgage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blackstone Mortgage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blackstone Mortgage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blackstone Mortgage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blackstone Mortgage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blackstone Mortgage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blackstone Mortgage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Blackstone Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Blackstone Mortgage is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Blackstone Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since Blackstone Mortgage's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Blackstone Mortgage's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Blackstone Mortgage's interrelated accounts and indicators.
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Click cells to compare fundamentals
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Blackstone Mortgage Trust has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 7.0%. This is 83.63% lower than that of the Mortgage Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 82.43% higher than that of the company.

Blackstone Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Blackstone Mortgage's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Blackstone Mortgage could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Blackstone Mortgage by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Blackstone Mortgage is rated below average in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

Blackstone Mortgage Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.01970.01850.0081180.0098070.01030.0108
Asset Turnover0.02560.02550.02270.02480.02790.0265
Net Debt12.4B12.2B17.0B20.2B18.9B19.9B
Total Current Liabilities9.8B7.9B12.3B13.6B12.8B13.4B
Non Current Liabilities Total2.8B4.6B5.2B13.6B6.6B6.9B
Total Assets16.6B17.0B22.7B25.4B24.0B25.2B
Total Current Assets216.7M356.7M637.3M25.0B23.6B24.7B
Total Cash From Operating Activities304.0M336.6M382.5M396.8M458.8M481.8M

Blackstone Mortgage ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Blackstone Mortgage's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Blackstone Mortgage's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

Blackstone Fundamentals

About Blackstone Mortgage Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Blackstone Mortgage Trust's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Blackstone Mortgage using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Blackstone Mortgage Trust based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Blackstone Mortgage

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Blackstone Mortgage position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Blackstone Mortgage will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Blackstone Stock

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Moving against Blackstone Stock

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  0.65DB Deutsche Bank AG Sell-off TrendPairCorr
  0.65SF Stifel Financial Earnings Call This WeekPairCorr
  0.54MS Morgan Stanley Financial Report 16th of July 2024 PairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Blackstone Mortgage could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Blackstone Mortgage when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Blackstone Mortgage - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Blackstone Mortgage Trust to buy it.
The correlation of Blackstone Mortgage is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Blackstone Mortgage moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Blackstone Mortgage Trust moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Blackstone Mortgage can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Blackstone Mortgage Trust is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Blackstone Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Blackstone Mortgage Trust Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Blackstone Mortgage Trust Stock:
Check out Blackstone Mortgage Piotroski F Score and Blackstone Mortgage Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running Blackstone Mortgage's price analysis, check to measure Blackstone Mortgage's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Blackstone Mortgage is operating at the current time. Most of Blackstone Mortgage's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Blackstone Mortgage's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Blackstone Mortgage's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Blackstone Mortgage to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Blackstone Mortgage's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Blackstone Mortgage. If investors know Blackstone will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Blackstone Mortgage listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.71)
Dividend Share
2.48
Earnings Share
0.04
Revenue Per Share
0.948
Quarterly Revenue Growth
15.955
The market value of Blackstone Mortgage Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Blackstone that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Blackstone Mortgage's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Blackstone Mortgage's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Blackstone Mortgage's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Blackstone Mortgage's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Blackstone Mortgage's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Blackstone Mortgage is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Blackstone Mortgage's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.