Cracker Barrel Old Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy
| CBRL Stock | USD 53.65 1.85 3.33% |
Cracker |
Cracker Barrel Old Company odds of financial distress Analysis
Cracker Barrel's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.
More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis
Probability Of Bankruptcy | = | Normalized | | Z-Score |
Current Cracker Barrel Probability Of Bankruptcy | Less than 30% |
Most of Cracker Barrel's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Cracker Barrel Old is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Cracker Barrel probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Cracker Barrel odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Cracker Barrel Old financial health.
Is Cracker Barrel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cracker Barrel. If investors know Cracker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cracker Barrel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Cracker Barrel Old is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cracker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cracker Barrel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cracker Barrel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cracker Barrel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cracker Barrel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cracker Barrel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cracker Barrel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cracker Barrel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
| Competition |
Based on the latest financial disclosure, Cracker Barrel Old has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 30.0%. This is 27.52% lower than that of the Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure sector and 8.65% lower than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 24.68% higher than that of the company.
Cracker Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Cracker Barrel's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Cracker Barrel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cracker Barrel by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Cracker Barrel is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.
Cracker Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | 0.18 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0321 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.02 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.03 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.42 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 22.2 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 1.43 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.62 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 3.14 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 56.37 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.84 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.38 X | ||||
| Revenue | 3.44 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 1.11 B | ||||
| EBITDA | 251.84 M | ||||
| Net Income | 99.05 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 45.1 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.04 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.12 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 2.35 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.63 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 20.81 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 250.46 M | ||||
| Short Ratio | 3.76 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 3.75 X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 2.50 X | ||||
| Target Price | 71.63 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 77 K | ||||
| Beta | 1.44 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.23 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.22 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 479.72 M | ||||
| Working Capital | (206.68 M) | ||||
| Current Asset | 355.74 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 368.82 M | ||||
| Annual Yield | 0.09 % | ||||
| Five Year Return | 3.07 % | ||||
| Net Asset | 2.22 B | ||||
| Last Dividend Paid | 5.2 |
About Cracker Barrel Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Cracker Barrel Old's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Cracker Barrel using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Cracker Barrel Old based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with Cracker Barrel
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Cracker Barrel position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Cracker Barrel will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Cracker Stock
| 0.8 | BFI | Burgerfi International | PairCorr |
Moving against Cracker Stock
| 0.79 | CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill | PairCorr |
| 0.76 | WING | Wingstop | PairCorr |
| 0.73 | BH | Biglari Holdings | PairCorr |
| 0.72 | DPZ | Dominos Pizza | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | SG | Sweetgreen | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Cracker Barrel could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Cracker Barrel when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Cracker Barrel - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Cracker Barrel Old to buy it.
The correlation of Cracker Barrel is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Cracker Barrel moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Cracker Barrel Old moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Cracker Barrel can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Cracker Barrel Piotroski F Score and Cracker Barrel Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Cracker Stock analysis
When running Cracker Barrel's price analysis, check to measure Cracker Barrel's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Cracker Barrel is operating at the current time. Most of Cracker Barrel's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Cracker Barrel's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Cracker Barrel's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Cracker Barrel to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Cracker Barrel's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cracker Barrel. If investors know Cracker will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cracker Barrel listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Cracker Barrel Old is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cracker that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cracker Barrel's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cracker Barrel's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cracker Barrel's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cracker Barrel's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cracker Barrel's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cracker Barrel is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cracker Barrel's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.