Pear Tree Polaris Fund Chance Of Distress

USBNX Fund  USD 26.33  0.37  1.39%   
Pear Tree's odds of distress is under 23% at this time. It has slight probability of undergoing some form of financial crunch in the near future. Chance of distress shows the probability of financial torment over the next two years of operations under current economic and market conditions. Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Pear Tree Polaris. Also, note that the market value of any mutual fund could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.
  

Pear Tree Polaris Mutual Fund chance of distress Analysis

Pear Tree's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

 = 

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current Pear Tree Probability Of Bankruptcy

    
  Less than 23%  
Most of Pear Tree's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Pear Tree Polaris is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Our calculation of Pear Tree probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting Pear Tree odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of Pear Tree Polaris financial health.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Pear Tree's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pear Tree is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pear Tree's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.
Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, Pear Tree Polaris has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 23.0%. This is much higher than that of the Pear Tree Funds family and significantly higher than that of the Small Value category. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States funds is notably lower than that of the firm.

Pear Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Pear Tree's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the mutual funds which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Pear Tree could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pear Tree by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.
Pear Tree is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy among similar funds.

Pear Fundamentals

Price To Earning20.46 X
Price To Book2.20 X
Price To Sales1.51 X
Total Asset67.12 M
Annual Yield0.01 %
Year To Date Return3.27 %
One Year Return20.10 %
Three Year Return3.46 %
Five Year Return8.22 %
Ten Year Return5.67 %
Net Asset78.28 M
Last Dividend Paid0.16
Cash Position Weight2.92 %
Equity Positions Weight97.43 %