Msad Insurance Group Stock Market Value

MSADY Stock  USD 20.01  0.85  4.07%   
MSAD Insurance's market value is the price at which a share of MSAD Insurance trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of MSAD Insurance Group investors about its performance. MSAD Insurance is trading at 20.01 as of the 23rd of May 2024; that is -4.07% down since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 20.86.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of MSAD Insurance Group and determine expected loss or profit from investing in MSAD Insurance over a given investment horizon. Check out MSAD Insurance Correlation, MSAD Insurance Volatility and MSAD Insurance Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MSAD Insurance.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between MSAD Insurance's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if MSAD Insurance is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, MSAD Insurance's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

MSAD Insurance 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to MSAD Insurance's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of MSAD Insurance.
0.00
04/23/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
05/23/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in MSAD Insurance on April 23, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding MSAD Insurance Group or generate 0.0% return on investment in MSAD Insurance over 30 days. MSAD Insurance is related to or competes with 3M, Small Cap, High Yield, CarMax, SEI Investments, Us Government, and Mill City. MSAD Insurance Group Holdings, Inc., an insurance holding company, provides insurance and financial services worldwide More

MSAD Insurance Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure MSAD Insurance's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess MSAD Insurance Group upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

MSAD Insurance Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for MSAD Insurance's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as MSAD Insurance's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use MSAD Insurance historical prices to predict the future MSAD Insurance's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MSAD Insurance's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.2820.0122.74
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
19.6722.4025.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
17.8520.5823.31
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
16.7118.3219.93
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as MSAD Insurance. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against MSAD Insurance's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, MSAD Insurance's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in MSAD Insurance Group.

MSAD Insurance Group Backtested Returns

MSAD Insurance appears to be not too volatile, given 3 months investment horizon. MSAD Insurance Group retains Efficiency (Sharpe Ratio) of 0.15, which conveys that the firm had a 0.15% return per unit of return volatility over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for MSAD Insurance, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please exercise MSAD Insurance's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (2.01), mean deviation of 1.65, and Downside Deviation of 1.87 to check out if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, MSAD Insurance holds a performance score of 11. The company owns a Beta (Systematic Risk) of -0.15, which conveys not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning MSAD Insurance are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, MSAD Insurance is likely to outperform the market. Please check MSAD Insurance's standard deviation, expected short fall, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the maximum drawdown and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether MSAD Insurance's current price history will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.68  

Good predictability

MSAD Insurance Group has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between MSAD Insurance time series from 23rd of April 2024 to 8th of May 2024 and 8th of May 2024 to 23rd of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of MSAD Insurance Group price movement. The serial correlation of 0.68 indicates that around 68.0% of current MSAD Insurance price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.68
Spearman Rank Test0.31
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance1.07

MSAD Insurance Group lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is MSAD Insurance pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting MSAD Insurance's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of MSAD Insurance returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that MSAD Insurance has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

MSAD Insurance regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If MSAD Insurance pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if MSAD Insurance pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in MSAD Insurance pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

MSAD Insurance Lagged Returns

When evaluating MSAD Insurance's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of MSAD Insurance pink sheet have on its future price. MSAD Insurance autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, MSAD Insurance autocorrelation shows the relationship between MSAD Insurance pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in MSAD Insurance Group.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out MSAD Insurance Correlation, MSAD Insurance Volatility and MSAD Insurance Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on MSAD Insurance.
Note that the MSAD Insurance Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other MSAD Insurance's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Premium Stories module to follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.

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When running MSAD Insurance's price analysis, check to measure MSAD Insurance's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MSAD Insurance is operating at the current time. Most of MSAD Insurance's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MSAD Insurance's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MSAD Insurance's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MSAD Insurance to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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MSAD Insurance technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of MSAD Insurance technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of MSAD Insurance trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...