Glenmede International Secured Fund Market Value

NOVIX Fund  USD 5.42  0.02  0.37%   
Glenmede International's market value is the price at which a share of Glenmede International trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Glenmede International Secured investors about its performance. Glenmede International is trading at 5.42 as of the 21st of May 2024; that is 0.37% increase since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 5.4.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Glenmede International Secured and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Glenmede International over a given investment horizon. Check out Glenmede International Correlation, Glenmede International Volatility and Glenmede International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Glenmede International.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Glenmede International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Glenmede International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Glenmede International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Glenmede International 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Glenmede International's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Glenmede International.
0.00
06/01/2022
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 1 year 11 months and 22 days
05/21/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Glenmede International on June 1, 2022 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Glenmede International Secured or generate 0.0% return on investment in Glenmede International over 720 days. Glenmede International is related to or competes with HUMANA, Barloworld, Morningstar Unconstrained, Thrivent High, High-yield Municipal, Via Renewables, and American Century. Under normal market circumstances, the Portfolio uses option writing strategies in an effort to obtain option premiums a... More

Glenmede International Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Glenmede International's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Glenmede International Secured upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Glenmede International Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Glenmede International's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Glenmede International's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Glenmede International historical prices to predict the future Glenmede International's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Glenmede International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.075.425.77
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.614.965.96
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.065.415.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
5.175.305.44
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Glenmede International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Glenmede International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Glenmede International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Glenmede International.

Glenmede International Backtested Returns

We consider Glenmede International very steady. Glenmede International holds Efficiency (Sharpe) Ratio of 0.26, which attests that the entity had a 0.26% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-six technical indicators for Glenmede International, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please check out Glenmede International's Coefficient Of Variation of 383.83, market risk adjusted performance of 0.8393, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1428 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.091%. The fund retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.0963, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, Glenmede International's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Glenmede International is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.84  

Very good predictability

Glenmede International Secured has very good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Glenmede International time series from 1st of June 2022 to 27th of May 2023 and 27th of May 2023 to 21st of May 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Glenmede International price movement. The serial correlation of 0.84 indicates that around 84.0% of current Glenmede International price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.84
Spearman Rank Test0.63
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.03

Glenmede International lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Glenmede International mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Glenmede International's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Glenmede International returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Glenmede International has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Glenmede International regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Glenmede International mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Glenmede International mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Glenmede International mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Glenmede International Lagged Returns

When evaluating Glenmede International's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Glenmede International mutual fund have on its future price. Glenmede International autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Glenmede International autocorrelation shows the relationship between Glenmede International mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Glenmede International Secured.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Check out Glenmede International Correlation, Glenmede International Volatility and Glenmede International Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Glenmede International.
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Glenmede International technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Glenmede International technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Glenmede International trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...