Nordea Bank Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
NDA-DK Stock | 82.02 0.38 0.47% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nordea Bank Abp on the next trading day is expected to be 82.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91 and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.67. Nordea Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Nordea Bank stock prices and determine the direction of Nordea Bank Abp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Nordea Bank's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nordea Bank to cross-verify your projections. Nordea |
Most investors in Nordea Bank cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Nordea Bank's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Nordea Bank's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Nordea Bank works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality. Nordea Bank Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Nordea Bank Abp on the next trading day is expected to be 82.08 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.91, mean absolute percentage error of 1.71, and the sum of the absolute errors of 53.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Nordea Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Nordea Bank's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Nordea Bank Stock Forecast Pattern
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Nordea Bank Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Nordea Bank's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Nordea Bank's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 80.60 and 83.55, respectively. We have considered Nordea Bank's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Nordea Bank stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Nordea Bank stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1764 |
MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9096 |
MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0112 |
SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 53.6659 |
Predictive Modules for Nordea Bank
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Nordea Bank Abp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nordea Bank's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Nordea Bank
For every potential investor in Nordea, whether a beginner or expert, Nordea Bank's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Nordea Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Nordea. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Nordea Bank's price trends.Nordea Bank Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Nordea Bank stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Nordea Bank could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Nordea Bank by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Risk & Return | Correlation |
Nordea Bank Abp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Nordea Bank's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Nordea Bank's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
Nordea Bank Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Nordea Bank stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Nordea Bank shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Nordea Bank stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Nordea Bank Abp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Nordea Bank Risk Indicators
The analysis of Nordea Bank's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Nordea Bank's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting nordea stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation | 1.05 | |||
Standard Deviation | 1.46 | |||
Variance | 2.12 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Nordea Bank to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Nordea Bank Abp information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Nordea Bank's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Complementary Tools for Nordea Stock analysis
When running Nordea Bank's price analysis, check to measure Nordea Bank's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nordea Bank is operating at the current time. Most of Nordea Bank's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nordea Bank's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nordea Bank's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nordea Bank to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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