Kellanova Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

K Stock  USD 81.00  0.34  0.42%   
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Kellanova is 'Cautious Hold'. The recommendation algorithm takes into account all of Kellanova's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site.
  
Check out Kellanova Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Kellanova Stock please use our How to buy in Kellanova Stock guide.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Kellanova and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Kellanova. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Execute Kellanova Buy or Sell Advice

The Kellanova recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Kellanova. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Kellanova or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Kellanova's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell KellanovaBuy Kellanova
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Kellanova has a Mean Deviation of 0.3573, Standard Deviation of 1.01, Variance of 1.02, Downside Variance of 0.0871, Semi Variance of (0.13) and Expected Short fall of (0.44)
Macroaxis provides trade recommendations on Kellanova to complement and cross-verify current analyst consensus on Kellanova. Our advice engine determines the firm's potential to grow exclusively from the perspective of an investor's current risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Kellanova is not overpriced, please verify all Kellanova fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Kellanova has a price to earning of 16.74 X, we recommend you to check Kellanova market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Kellanova Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Kellanova has accumulated 6.53 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.56, which looks OK as compared to the sector. Kellanova has a current ratio of 0.73, which means it has a negative working capital and may have difficulties to pay out interest payments when they become due. Note however, debt could still be an excellent tool for Kellanova to invest in growth at high rates of return.
Kellanova has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 86.0% of Kellanova shares are owned by institutional investors
On 13th of September 2024 Kellanova paid $ 0.57 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from investing.com: Disposition of 1305 shares by Todd Haigh of Kellanova subject to Rule 16b-3

Kellanova Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Kellanova's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Kellanova's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Kellanova daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Kellanova price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Kellanova returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Kellanova.
Mean Return
0.17
Value At Risk
-0.31
Potential Upside
0.69
Standard Deviation
1.01
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Kellanova historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Kellanova Stock Institutional Investors

Shares
Toms Capital Investment Management Lp2024-06-30
3.9 M
Northern Trust Corp2024-06-30
3.7 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-06-30
3.4 M
Amundi2024-06-30
3.4 M
Millennium Management Llc2024-06-30
3.1 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-06-30
M
Citadel Advisors Llc2024-06-30
2.8 M
Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc.2024-06-30
2.6 M
State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co2024-06-30
2.4 M
Kellogg W K Foundation Trust2024-06-30
51.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2024-06-30
31.6 M
Note, although Kellanova's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Kellanova Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory2M(54M)(135M)(411M)139M146.0M
Change In Cash76M38M(149M)13M(25M)(23.8M)
Free Cash Flow590M1.5B1.1B1.2B968M876.2M
Depreciation484M479M467M478M419M410.5M
Other Non Cash Items(357M)(241M)(130M)(456M)353M370.7M
Dividends Paid769M782M788M797M800M561.1M
Capital Expenditures578M586M505M488M677M504.9M
Net Income977M1.3B1.5B962M775M949.0M
End Period Cash Flow397M435M286M299M274M293.5M
Change To Netincome(106M)(56M)(256M)129M148.4M155.8M
Change Receivables(145M)75M(9M)(257M)(231.3M)(219.7M)
Net Borrowings(971M)(698M)(306M)(279M)(251.1M)(238.5M)
Investments65M(62M)1M(448M)(562M)(533.9M)

Kellanova Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kellanova or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kellanova's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kellanova stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.12
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.22
σ
Overall volatility
0.98
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Kellanova Volatility Alert

Kellanova exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 6.78 and kurtosis of 51.02. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kellanova's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kellanova's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Kellanova Implied Volatility

Kellanova's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kellanova stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kellanova's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kellanova stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kellanova's options are near their expiration.

Kellanova Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Kellanova's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Kellanova's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Kellanova and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Kellanova or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Kellanova's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kellanova by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Kellanova to competition
FundamentalsKellanovaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.26-0.31
Return On Asset0.0609-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.15 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation33.72 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding344.7 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.78 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions85.63 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted5.28 M4.71 M
Price To Earning16.74 X28.72 X
Price To Book7.62 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.18 X11.42 X
Revenue13.12 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.62 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.5 B3.9 B
Net Income775 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents299 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.10 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.53 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.56 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.74 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share10.59 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.65 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.71 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.98 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth1.64 X4.89 X
Target Price79.99
Number Of Employees23 K18.84 K
Beta0.4-0.15
Market Capitalization27.9 B19.03 B
Total Asset15.62 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings8.8 B9.33 B
Working Capital(1.73 B)1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 1305 shares by Todd Haigh of Kellanova subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Kellanova Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Kellanova . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Kellanova Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Kellanova? Buying financial instruments such as Kellanova Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

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Latest Gainers Theme
Dynamically computed list of top equities currently sorted across major exchanges. The Latest Gainers theme has 271 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Latest Gainers Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Kellanova Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Kellanova Stock please use our How to buy in Kellanova Stock guide.
You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kellanova. If investors know Kellanova will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kellanova listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.348
Dividend Share
2.25
Earnings Share
2.98
Revenue Per Share
37.415
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Kellanova is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kellanova that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kellanova's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kellanova's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kellanova's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kellanova's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kellanova's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kellanova is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kellanova's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.