Kellanova Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

K Stock  USD 55.42  0.75  1.34%   
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon and your way above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Kellanova is 'Buy'. Macroaxis provides Kellanova buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding K positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Kellanova's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Kellanova's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
58.87
Target Price
62.38
Hype Value
55.41
Market Value
55.42
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Kellanova given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Kellanova. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Kellanova, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Kellanova Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Kellanova Stock please use our How to buy in Kellanova Stock guide.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Kellanova and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards Kellanova. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in industry.

Execute Kellanova Buy or Sell Advice

The Kellanova recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Kellanova. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Kellanova or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Kellanova's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell KellanovaBuy Kellanova
Buy

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Very steadyDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Follows the market closelyDetails

Investor Sentiment

AlarmedDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

StrongDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Kellanova has a Risk Adjusted Performance of (0), Jensen Alpha of (0.07), Total Risk Alpha of (0.17) and Treynor Ratio of (0.04)
Our trade recommendations module provides unbiased advice that can be used to complement current average analyst sentiment on Kellanova. Our trade recommendations engine provides an advice for the company potential to grow from the perspective of an investor's risk tolerance and investing horizon. To make sure Kellanova is not overpriced, please verify all Kellanova fundamentals, including its current ratio, total asset, and the relationship between the net income and price to earnings to growth . Given that Kellanova has a price to earning of 16.74 X, we recommend you to check Kellanova market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your last-minute risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Kellanova Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

The company has accumulated 6.53 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.56, which looks OK as compared to the sector. Kellanova has a current ratio of 0.73, which means it has a negative working capital and may have difficulties to pay out interest payments when they become due. Debt can assist Kellanova until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Kellanova's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Kellanova sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Kellanova to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Kellanova's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Kellanova has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings
Over 88.0% of Kellanova shares are owned by institutional investors
On 15th of March 2024 Kellanova paid $ 0.56 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from cbsnews.com: This week on Sunday Morning The Money Issue

Kellanova Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Kellanova's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Kellanova's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Kellanova daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Kellanova price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Kellanova returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Kellanova.
Mean Return
-0.02
Value At Risk
-1.96
Potential Upside
2.17
Standard Deviation
1.25
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Kellanova historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Kellanova Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Kellanova is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kellanova backward and forwards among themselves. Kellanova's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Kellanova's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Northern Trust Corp2023-12-31
3.9 M
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-12-31
3.8 M
Amundi2023-12-31
3.7 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2023-12-31
3.1 M
Van Eck Associates Corporation2023-12-31
2.7 M
Legal & General Group Plc2023-12-31
2.7 M
Norges Bank2023-12-31
2.7 M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2023-12-31
2.5 M
State Farm Mutual Automobile Ins Co2023-12-31
2.4 M
Kellogg W K Foundation Trust2023-12-31
53.1 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-12-31
32.2 M
Note, although Kellanova's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Kellanova Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory2M(54M)(135M)(411M)139M146.0M
Change In Cash76M38M(149M)13M(25M)(23.8M)
Free Cash Flow590M1.5B1.1B1.2B968M876.2M
Depreciation484M479M467M478M419M410.5M
Other Non Cash Items(357M)(241M)(130M)(456M)353M370.7M
Dividends Paid769M(782M)(788M)(797M)(800M)(760M)
Capital Expenditures578M586M505M488M677M504.9M
Net Income977M1.3B1.5B962M775M949.0M
End Period Cash Flow397M435M286M299M274M293.5M
Change To Netincome(106M)(56M)(256M)129M148.4M155.8M
Change Receivables(145M)75M(9M)(257M)(231.3M)(219.7M)
Net Borrowings(971M)(698M)(306M)(279M)(251.1M)(238.5M)
Investments65M(62M)1M(448M)(562M)(533.9M)

Kellanova Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Kellanova or Food Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Kellanova's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Kellanova stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.07
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.65
σ
Overall volatility
1.24
Ir
Information ratio -0.08

Kellanova Volatility Alert

Kellanova exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.12 and kurtosis of -0.65. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Kellanova's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Kellanova's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Kellanova Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Kellanova's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Kellanova's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Kellanova and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Kellanova or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Kellanova's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Kellanova by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Kellanova to competition
FundamentalsKellanovaPeer Average
Return On Equity0.2-0.31
Return On Asset0.0513-0.14
Profit Margin0.07 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.13 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation25.45 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding341.76 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.94 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions87.54 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted13.09 M4.71 M
Price To Earning16.74 X28.72 X
Price To Book6.05 X9.51 X
Price To Sales1.46 X11.42 X
Revenue13.12 B9.43 B
Gross Profit4.62 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.5 B3.9 B
Net Income775 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents299 M2.7 B
Cash Per Share1.10 X5.01 X
Total Debt6.53 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity1.56 %48.70 %
Current Ratio0.74 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share9.32 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations1.65 B971.22 M
Short Ratio3.23 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.25 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.97 X4.89 X
Target Price58.47
Number Of Employees23 K18.84 K
Beta0.41-0.15
Market Capitalization19.2 B19.03 B
Total Asset15.62 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings8.8 B9.33 B
Working Capital(1.73 B)1.48 B
Note: Disposition of 77800 shares by Kellogg W K Foundation Trust of Kellanova at 55.6104 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]

Kellanova Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Kellanova . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Kellanova Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Kellanova? Buying financial instruments such as Kellanova Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Short and Long Term Debt Total7.7B7.2B6.5B4.8B
Total Assets18.2B18.5B15.6B10.7B

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having Kellanova in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Large Growth Funds Thematic Idea Now

Large Growth Funds
Large Growth Funds Theme
Funds or Etfs that invest in stocks of large-sized companies with above-average risk and growth rate. The Large Growth Funds theme has 42 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Large Growth Funds Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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When determining whether Kellanova is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if Kellanova Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Kellanova Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Kellanova Stock:
Check out Kellanova Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
For more information on how to buy Kellanova Stock please use our How to buy in Kellanova Stock guide.
You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running Kellanova's price analysis, check to measure Kellanova's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kellanova is operating at the current time. Most of Kellanova's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kellanova's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kellanova's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kellanova to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Kellanova's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kellanova. If investors know Kellanova will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Kellanova listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.13)
Dividend Share
2.34
Earnings Share
2.25
Revenue Per Share
38.359
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.17)
The market value of Kellanova is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Kellanova that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Kellanova's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Kellanova's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Kellanova's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Kellanova's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Kellanova's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Kellanova is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Kellanova's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.