Fti Consulting Stock Price Prediction
| FCN Stock | USD 220.17 5.03 2.34% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
60
Oversold | Overbought |
FTI Consulting stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of FTI Consulting shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of FTI Consulting's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of FTI Consulting and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from FTI Consulting's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FTI Consulting, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting FTI Consulting's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.664 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.07 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.44 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.52 | Wall Street Target Price 240 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of FTI Consulting based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The FTI stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on FTI Consulting over a specific investment horizon. Using FTI Consulting hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FTI Consulting from the perspective of FTI Consulting response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards FTI Consulting using FTI Consulting's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards FTI using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of FTI Consulting's stock price.
FTI Consulting Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in FTI Consulting's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards FTI. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of FTI Consulting stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long FTI Consulting may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about FTI Consulting and may potentially protect profits, hedge FTI Consulting with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 199.4804 | Short Percent 0.0178 | Short Ratio 3.18 | Shares Short Prior Month 626.2 K | 50 Day MA 209.0394 |
FTI Consulting Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to FTI Consulting's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in FTI. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding FTI can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around FTI Consulting. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of FTI Consulting's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about FTI Consulting.
FTI Consulting Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
FTI Consulting's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of FTI Consulting stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if FTI Consulting's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that FTI Consulting stock will not fluctuate a lot when FTI Consulting's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in FTI Consulting. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FTI Consulting to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FTI because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
FTI Consulting after-hype prediction price | USD 214.85 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current FTI contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that FTI Consulting will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With FTI Consulting trading at USD 220.17, that is roughly USD 0.0 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating FTI Consulting's daily price movement you should consider acquiring FTI Consulting options at the current volatility level of 0.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
FTI |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FTI Consulting's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FTI Consulting After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FTI Consulting at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FTI Consulting or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FTI Consulting, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FTI Consulting Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FTI Consulting's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FTI Consulting's historical news coverage. FTI Consulting's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 212.45 and 217.25, respectively. We have considered FTI Consulting's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FTI Consulting is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FTI Consulting is based on 3 months time horizon.
FTI Consulting Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FTI Consulting is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FTI Consulting backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FTI Consulting, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.19 | 2.40 | 0.29 | 0.01 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
220.17 | 214.85 | 0.13 |
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FTI Consulting Hype Timeline
On the 6th of May FTI Consulting is traded for 220.17. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.29, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. FTI is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 214.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 158.94%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on FTI Consulting is about 7200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 220.18. About 98.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of FTI Consulting was currently reported as 58.57. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.61. FTI Consulting recorded earning per share (EPS) of 8.61. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on the 5th of June 2003. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out FTI Consulting Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.FTI Consulting Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FTI Consulting's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FTI Consulting's future price movements. Getting to know how FTI Consulting's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FTI Consulting may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| FORR | Forrester Research | (0.01) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.15 | (4.17) | 14.18 | |
| HURN | Huron Consulting Group | 0.95 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.78 | (2.27) | 16.64 | |
| ICFI | ICF International | (0.36) | 11 per month | 0.95 | 0.02 | 1.99 | (1.69) | 5.42 | |
| FC | Franklin Covey | 0.14 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.91 | (4.00) | 10.76 | |
| CRAI | CRA International | (0.73) | 9 per month | 1.02 | 0.23 | 2.80 | (2.15) | 15.07 | |
| EXPO | Exponent | 0.21 | 7 per month | 2.63 | 0.02 | 2.67 | (2.85) | 21.60 |
FTI Consulting Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FTI price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FTI using various technical indicators. When you analyze FTI charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About FTI Consulting Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of FTI Consulting stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FTI Consulting, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FTI Consulting based on analysis of FTI Consulting hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FTI Consulting's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FTI Consulting's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003122 | 0.003852 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.94 | 1.18 |
Story Coverage note for FTI Consulting
The number of cover stories for FTI Consulting depends on current market conditions and FTI Consulting's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FTI Consulting is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FTI Consulting's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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FTI Consulting Short Properties
FTI Consulting's future price predictability will typically decrease when FTI Consulting's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FTI Consulting often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FTI Consulting's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FTI Consulting's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 35.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 328.7 M |
Check out FTI Consulting Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in FTI Stock, please use our How to Invest in FTI Consulting guide.Note that the FTI Consulting information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other FTI Consulting's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Complementary Tools for FTI Stock analysis
When running FTI Consulting's price analysis, check to measure FTI Consulting's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FTI Consulting is operating at the current time. Most of FTI Consulting's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FTI Consulting's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FTI Consulting's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FTI Consulting to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is FTI Consulting's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FTI Consulting. If investors know FTI will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about FTI Consulting listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.664 | Earnings Share 8.61 | Revenue Per Share 105.148 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.151 | Return On Assets 0.0806 |
The market value of FTI Consulting is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of FTI that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of FTI Consulting's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is FTI Consulting's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because FTI Consulting's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect FTI Consulting's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FTI Consulting's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FTI Consulting is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FTI Consulting's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.