Amita Technologies Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average
| 5233 Stock | TWD 24.55 0.30 1.21% |
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Amita Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 25.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.58. Amita Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Amita Technologies stock prices and determine the direction of Amita Technologies's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Amita Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Amita Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Amita |
Most investors in Amita Technologies cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Amita Technologies' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Amita Technologies' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Amita Technologies is based on an artificially constructed time series of Amita Technologies daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time. Amita Technologies 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 9th of June
Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Amita Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 25.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.29, mean absolute percentage error of 3.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 68.58.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Amita Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Amita Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Amita Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
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Amita Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Amita Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Amita Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.39 and 28.22, respectively. We have considered Amita Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Amita Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Amita Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 104.6246 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.4452 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.294 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0456 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 68.5812 |
Predictive Modules for Amita Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Amita Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amita Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Amita Technologies
For every potential investor in Amita, whether a beginner or expert, Amita Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Amita Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Amita. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Amita Technologies' price trends.Amita Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Amita Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Amita Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Amita Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Amita Technologies Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Amita Technologies' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Amita Technologies' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Amita Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Amita Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Amita Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Amita Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Amita Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Amita Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Amita Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Amita Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting amita stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.93 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.86 | |||
| Variance | 8.17 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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When running Amita Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Amita Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amita Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Amita Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amita Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amita Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amita Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.