Chipotle Mexican Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| C9F Stock | EUR 2,910 30.00 1.02% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Chipotle Mexican Grill on the next trading day is expected to be 2,910 with a mean absolute deviation of 36.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,254. Chipotle Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Chipotle Mexican stock prices and determine the direction of Chipotle Mexican Grill's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Chipotle Mexican's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chipotle Mexican to cross-verify your projections. Chipotle |
Most investors in Chipotle Mexican cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Chipotle Mexican's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Chipotle Mexican's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Chipotle Mexican simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Chipotle Mexican Grill are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Chipotle Mexican Grill prices get older. Chipotle Mexican Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Chipotle Mexican Grill on the next trading day is expected to be 2,910 with a mean absolute deviation of 36.95, mean absolute percentage error of 2,659, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,254.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Chipotle Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Chipotle Mexican's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Chipotle Mexican Stock Forecast Pattern
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Chipotle Mexican Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Chipotle Mexican's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Chipotle Mexican's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,908 and 2,912, respectively. We have considered Chipotle Mexican's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Chipotle Mexican stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Chipotle Mexican stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 125.9964 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -8.082 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 36.9508 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0134 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2254.0 |
Predictive Modules for Chipotle Mexican
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Chipotle Mexican Grill. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Chipotle Mexican's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Chipotle Mexican
For every potential investor in Chipotle, whether a beginner or expert, Chipotle Mexican's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Chipotle Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Chipotle. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Chipotle Mexican's price trends.Chipotle Mexican Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Chipotle Mexican stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Chipotle Mexican could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Chipotle Mexican by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Chipotle Mexican Grill Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Chipotle Mexican's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Chipotle Mexican's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Chipotle Mexican Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Chipotle Mexican stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Chipotle Mexican shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Chipotle Mexican stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Chipotle Mexican Grill entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.39 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.52) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2904.75 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2906.5 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 2.88 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (9.75) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (30.00) |
Chipotle Mexican Risk Indicators
The analysis of Chipotle Mexican's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Chipotle Mexican's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting chipotle stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.38 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.06 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.86 | |||
| Variance | 3.47 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.69 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.12 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.73) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Chipotle Mexican Grill is a strong investment it is important to analyze Chipotle Mexican's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Chipotle Mexican's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Chipotle Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Chipotle Mexican to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Chipotle Stock analysis
When running Chipotle Mexican's price analysis, check to measure Chipotle Mexican's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Chipotle Mexican is operating at the current time. Most of Chipotle Mexican's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Chipotle Mexican's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Chipotle Mexican's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Chipotle Mexican to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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