Care Property Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
CPINV Stock | EUR 14.96 0.06 0.40% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Care Property Invest on the next trading day is expected to be 15.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.08. Care Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Care Property stock prices and determine the direction of Care Property Invest's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Care Property's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Care Property to cross-verify your projections. Care |
Most investors in Care Property cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Care Property's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Care Property's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for Care Property is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Care Property Invest value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period. Care Property Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 22nd of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Care Property Invest on the next trading day is expected to be 15.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 9.08.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Care Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Care Property's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Care Property Stock Forecast Pattern
Backtest Care Property | Care Property Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Care Property Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Care Property's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Care Property's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.78 and 16.52, respectively. We have considered Care Property's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Care Property stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Care Property stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.4596 |
Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1464 |
MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.011 |
SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 9.0751 |
Predictive Modules for Care Property
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Care Property Invest. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Care Property's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Care Property
For every potential investor in Care, whether a beginner or expert, Care Property's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Care Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Care. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Care Property's price trends.Care Property Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Care Property stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Care Property could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Care Property by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
Risk & Return | Correlation |
Care Property Invest Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Care Property's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Care Property's current price.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
Care Property Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Care Property stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Care Property shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Care Property stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Care Property Invest entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Care Property Risk Indicators
The analysis of Care Property's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Care Property's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting care stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Mean Deviation | 1.03 | |||
Semi Deviation | 0.9123 | |||
Standard Deviation | 1.35 | |||
Variance | 1.81 | |||
Downside Variance | 1.59 | |||
Semi Variance | 0.8323 | |||
Expected Short fall | (1.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Care Property to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
Complementary Tools for Care Stock analysis
When running Care Property's price analysis, check to measure Care Property's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Care Property is operating at the current time. Most of Care Property's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Care Property's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Care Property's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Care Property to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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