Dor Alon Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| DRAL Stock | ILS 7,346 40.00 0.55% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dor Alon on the next trading day is expected to be 7,346 with a mean absolute deviation of 77.75 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,587. Dor Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Dor Alon stock prices and determine the direction of Dor Alon's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dor Alon's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dor Alon to cross-verify your projections. Dor |
Most investors in Dor Alon cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Dor Alon's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Dor Alon's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Dor Alon is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility. Dor Alon Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of May
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Dor Alon on the next trading day is expected to be 7,346 with a mean absolute deviation of 77.75, mean absolute percentage error of 12,234, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4,587.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dor Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dor Alon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dor Alon Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dor Alon | Dor Alon Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Dor Alon Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dor Alon's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dor Alon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7,345 and 7,347, respectively. We have considered Dor Alon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dor Alon stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dor Alon stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 123.8468 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 2.6441 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 77.7458 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0107 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 4587.0 |
Predictive Modules for Dor Alon
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dor Alon. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dor Alon's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Dor Alon
For every potential investor in Dor, whether a beginner or expert, Dor Alon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dor Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dor. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dor Alon's price trends.Dor Alon Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dor Alon stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dor Alon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dor Alon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dor Alon Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dor Alon's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dor Alon's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dor Alon Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dor Alon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dor Alon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dor Alon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dor Alon entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0155 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.3448 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 7404.0 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 7384.67 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 116.0 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (38.00) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 40.0 |
Dor Alon Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dor Alon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dor Alon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dor stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.9183 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Variance | 1.84 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Dor Alon in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Dor Alon's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Dor Alon options trading.
Pair Trading with Dor Alon
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Dor Alon position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dor Alon will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Dor Stock
| 0.63 | LUMI | Bank Leumi Le | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Dor Alon could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Dor Alon when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Dor Alon - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Dor Alon to buy it.
The correlation of Dor Alon is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Dor Alon moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Dor Alon moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Dor Alon can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dor Alon to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Complementary Tools for Dor Stock analysis
When running Dor Alon's price analysis, check to measure Dor Alon's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dor Alon is operating at the current time. Most of Dor Alon's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dor Alon's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dor Alon's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dor Alon to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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