MAHLE Metal Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| LEVE3 Stock | BRL 33.30 0.20 0.60% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of MAHLE Metal Leve on the next trading day is expected to be 31.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96 and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.18. MAHLE Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast MAHLE Metal stock prices and determine the direction of MAHLE Metal Leve's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of MAHLE Metal's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MAHLE Metal to cross-verify your projections. MAHLE |
Most investors in MAHLE Metal cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the MAHLE Metal's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets MAHLE Metal's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for MAHLE Metal Leve is based on a synthetically constructed MAHLE Metaldaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time. MAHLE Metal 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of May
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of MAHLE Metal Leve on the next trading day is expected to be 31.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.96, mean absolute percentage error of 1.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 40.18.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict MAHLE Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that MAHLE Metal's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
MAHLE Metal Stock Forecast Pattern
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MAHLE Metal Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting MAHLE Metal's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. MAHLE Metal's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 29.48 and 34.33, respectively. We have considered MAHLE Metal's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of MAHLE Metal stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent MAHLE Metal stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 83.4434 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.3874 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9567 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0303 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 40.1795 |
Predictive Modules for MAHLE Metal
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as MAHLE Metal Leve. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of MAHLE Metal's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for MAHLE Metal
For every potential investor in MAHLE, whether a beginner or expert, MAHLE Metal's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. MAHLE Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in MAHLE. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying MAHLE Metal's price trends.MAHLE Metal Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with MAHLE Metal stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of MAHLE Metal could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing MAHLE Metal by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
MAHLE Metal Leve Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of MAHLE Metal's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of MAHLE Metal's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
MAHLE Metal Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how MAHLE Metal stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading MAHLE Metal shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying MAHLE Metal stock market strength indicators, traders can identify MAHLE Metal Leve entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 6219.44 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.339 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 33.14 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 33.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.26 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.2 |
MAHLE Metal Risk Indicators
The analysis of MAHLE Metal's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in MAHLE Metal's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mahle stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.5 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.17 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.44 | |||
| Variance | 5.95 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.73 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.60) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of MAHLE Metal to cross-verify your projections. Note that the MAHLE Metal Leve information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other MAHLE Metal's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Complementary Tools for MAHLE Stock analysis
When running MAHLE Metal's price analysis, check to measure MAHLE Metal's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy MAHLE Metal is operating at the current time. Most of MAHLE Metal's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of MAHLE Metal's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move MAHLE Metal's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of MAHLE Metal to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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