Lincoln National Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| LNC Stock | USD 27.27 0.74 2.64% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lincoln National on the next trading day is expected to be 28.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.93. Lincoln Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Lincoln National stock prices and determine the direction of Lincoln National's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Lincoln National's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Lincoln National's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Lincoln National's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Lincoln National fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lincoln National to cross-verify your projections. Lincoln |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Lincoln Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Lincoln National's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Lincoln National's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Lincoln National stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Lincoln National's open interest, investors have to compare it to Lincoln National's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Lincoln National is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Lincoln. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Lincoln National cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Lincoln National's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Lincoln National's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for Lincoln National is based on a synthetically constructed Lincoln Nationaldaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time. Lincoln National 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 2nd of May
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Lincoln National on the next trading day is expected to be 28.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.43, mean absolute percentage error of 3.32, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Lincoln Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Lincoln National's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Lincoln National Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Lincoln National | Lincoln National Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Lincoln National Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Lincoln National's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Lincoln National's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.16 and 30.67, respectively. We have considered Lincoln National's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Lincoln National stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Lincoln National stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 84.3904 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2841 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.4268 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.049 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 59.927 |
Predictive Modules for Lincoln National
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Lincoln National. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lincoln National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Lincoln National
For every potential investor in Lincoln, whether a beginner or expert, Lincoln National's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Lincoln Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Lincoln. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Lincoln National's price trends.Lincoln National Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Lincoln National stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Lincoln National could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Lincoln National by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Lincoln National Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Lincoln National's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Lincoln National's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Lincoln National Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Lincoln National stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Lincoln National shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Lincoln National stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Lincoln National entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 44104.82 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.10) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 27.61 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 27.49 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.71) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.74) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 37.86 |
Lincoln National Risk Indicators
The analysis of Lincoln National's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Lincoln National's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting lincoln stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.74 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.28 | |||
| Variance | 5.19 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Lincoln National to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Lincoln Stock refer to our How to Trade Lincoln Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Dashboard module to portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments.
Complementary Tools for Lincoln Stock analysis
When running Lincoln National's price analysis, check to measure Lincoln National's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lincoln National is operating at the current time. Most of Lincoln National's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lincoln National's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lincoln National's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lincoln National to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Equity Forecasting Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum | |
| Aroon Oscillator Analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios | |
| Positions Ratings Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Idea Breakdown Analyze constituents of all Macroaxis ideas. Macroaxis investment ideas are predefined, sector-focused investing themes | |
| Cryptocurrency Center Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency | |
| Headlines Timeline Stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity | |
| Portfolio Dashboard Portfolio dashboard that provides centralized access to all your investments | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets | |
| Sync Your Broker Sync your existing holdings, watchlists, positions or portfolios from thousands of online brokerage services, banks, investment account aggregators and robo-advisors. | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Instant Ratings Determine any equity ratings based on digital recommendations. Macroaxis instant equity ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance | |
| Risk-Return Analysis View associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume | |
| Portfolio Anywhere Track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device |
Is Lincoln National's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Lincoln National. If investors know Lincoln will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Lincoln National listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.39) | Dividend Share 1.8 | Earnings Share (4.92) | Revenue Per Share 68.677 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.82) |
The market value of Lincoln National is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Lincoln that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Lincoln National's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Lincoln National's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Lincoln National's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Lincoln National's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Lincoln National's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Lincoln National is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Lincoln National's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.