Mobivity Holdings OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| MFON Stock | USD 0.35 0.01 2.94% |
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Mobivity Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.85. Mobivity OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
Mobivity |
Most investors in Mobivity Holdings cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Mobivity Holdings' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Mobivity Holdings' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Mobivity Holdings is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility. Mobivity Holdings Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 15th of June 2024
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Mobivity Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 0.35 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.85.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Mobivity OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Mobivity Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Mobivity Holdings OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
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Mobivity Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Mobivity Holdings' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Mobivity Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 10.44, respectively. We have considered Mobivity Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Mobivity Holdings otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Mobivity Holdings otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.4809 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0314 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0764 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.85 |
Predictive Modules for Mobivity Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mobivity Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mobivity Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Mobivity Holdings
For every potential investor in Mobivity, whether a beginner or expert, Mobivity Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Mobivity OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Mobivity. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Mobivity Holdings' price trends.Mobivity Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Mobivity Holdings otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Mobivity Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Mobivity Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Mobivity Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics
The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Mobivity Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Mobivity Holdings' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Mobivity Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Mobivity Holdings otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Mobivity Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Mobivity Holdings otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Mobivity Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.35 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.35 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.005 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.01 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 48.48 |
Mobivity Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Mobivity Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Mobivity Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting mobivity otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.22 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 8.14 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 10.09 | |||
| Variance | 101.78 | |||
| Downside Variance | 467.33 | |||
| Semi Variance | 66.21 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (13.19) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Mobivity Holdings financial ratios help investors to determine whether Mobivity OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Mobivity with respect to the benefits of owning Mobivity Holdings security.